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Cases / Water use · Jordan · 2005–2021

Red Sea-Dead Sea Water Conveyance: World Bank studies, the 2013 and 2015 agreements and the project's end

Nature's voice · report
900 million US dollars were budgeted in my name. No one has measured what reached me.
Did nature suffer? Not measured. Accounts differ ↓
Details not on record: 3 none on record · 1 not measured · 6 disputed · 2 unclear See the gaps
Accounts of the harm differ
Effects of the conveyance on the Dead Sea and the Red Sea
  • International bodies World Bank experts (as reported by IPS, 2013): Gypsum precipitation could be mitigated by adding gypsum crystals at the discharge location; a modelling study recommended an intake depth of at least 140 m to protect Red Sea coral reefs. Inter Press Service
  • Communities and civil society Friends of the Earth Middle East / EcoPeace (Gidon Bromberg, 2013): 'The two bodies of water won't mix, like oil and water'; concern about gypsum deposits, red algae blooms and pipe rupture in an earthquake polluting groundwater. Inter Press Service
  • Researchers Geological Survey of Israel (May 2026 reply to the Comptroller): Concern about microbiological and geochemical changes in the Dead Sea from conveying foreign water into it. State Comptroller of Israel
  • Company or project ICL Group (citing a Geological Survey study): An inflow of up to 400 million cubic metres a year is not expected to cause adverse material environmental effects; an inflow of about 250 million cubic metres a year would moderate the fall by about 35 cm a year. ICL Group
Whether the scaled-back plan could stop the sea's fall
  • Communities and civil society Experts quoted by Circle of Blue (2015): About 100 million cubic metres of brine and wastewater a year would not halt the decline; stabilisation would need about 800 million cubic metres a year. Circle of Blue
  • Government and regulators Silvan Shalom (2013): 'The best option is a canal to pump 2 cubic billion metres a year from the Red Sea.' Inter Press Service

A World Bank-managed study programme examined a pipeline from the Red Sea to the Dead Sea; the press reported its feasibility study's capital cost as US$9.97 billion. Israel, Jordan and the Palestinian Authority signed agreements in December 2013 and, in a scaled-back form valued at US$900 million, in February 2015; Jordan was reported in June 2021 to have dropped the joint project. No pipeline was built and no effect on the sea's level has been measured.

US$9.97 billion estimateCapital cost of the Red Sea-Dead Sea conveyance in the World Bank feasibility study, as reported
Inter Press Service (25 February 2013), giving the World Bank estimate; Fanack gives US$10.6 billion for the preferred option and says no financing proposals were made. The scaled-back agreement of February 2015 was valued at US$900 million (Circle of Blue).

Status As of June 2026 (State Comptroller): the Israeli government had formed no policy on intervening in the Dead Sea's fall; Jordan was reported in June 2021 to have cancelled the joint conveyance project; no pipeline was built.

What?
A proposed conveyance of Red Sea water to the Dead Sea, studied by the World Bank, scaled back by agreement in 2013 and 2015 and reported cancelled by Jordan in 2021; no pipeline was built. The Times of Israel
Where?
Gulf of Aqaba (Jordan) to the Dead Sea; agreements signed in Washington (2013) and, per Circle of Blue, in 2015. Circle of Blue
When?
Agreement to study in 2005; studies released January 2013; memorandum 9 December 2013; scaled-back agreement February 2015; Jordan reported cancelling on 17 June 2021. Palestine Economic Policy Research Institute (MAS)
Who?
Gained
  • Jordan (as planned) — An intake and desalination plant at Aqaba producing about 80 million cubic metres of fresh water a year, and an extra 50 million cubic metres a year from the Sea of Galilee Circle of Blue
  • Israel and the Palestinian Authority (as planned) — Half to 60 percent of the Aqaba plant's output for Israel; 20 to 30 million cubic metres a year more for the Palestinian Water Authority Circle of Blue
Lost
  • Israel — The canal would have cost Israel around US$1 billion (Times of Israel); Kan's sources said there was no real Israeli desire for it The Times of Israel
Harmed
  • The Dead Sea — The level kept falling: the State Comptroller records a fall of about 42 m to June 2025 and no government policy on intervening as of February 2026 State Comptroller of Israel
Why?
To halt the Dead Sea's decline, produce desalinated water for Jordan and generate electricity, and to serve as a symbol of peace (MAS summary of the Bank's objectives). Palestine Economic Policy Research Institute (MAS)
How?
A World Bank-managed study programme funded by a multi-donor trust fund; trilateral agreements among Israel, Jordan and the Palestinian Authority; the 2015 plan combined an Aqaba desalination plant with water swaps. Circle of Blue
In proportion The scaled-back project's brine volume was described as about one tenth of what is needed to prevent the level from dropping further. Fanack Water
6 of 6 questions (what, who, where, when, why, how) have an answer on record

What happened

The record, in order.

Israel's State Comptroller records that between 2005 and 2021 the Seas Conduit (Red Sea-Dead Sea) project was advanced with the World Bank, Jordan and the Palestinian Authority, with Knesset lobbying and supportive government decisions in 2007 and 2012. A round-table report of the Palestine Economic Policy Research Institute (MAS) of March 2013 says that in 2005 the three parties announced their agreement to study feasibility; that the World Bank hired experts and set up a multi-donor trust fund of eight countries; and that the five preliminary studies cost about US$16 million. Fanack gives the study programme's cost as US$16.7 million, financed by France, Greece, Italy, Japan, the Netherlands, South Korea, Sweden and the United States. MAS summarises the feasibility study's scenarios: with no project, losses of about US$2.9 billion and a fall to 550 m below sea level over 150 years; a stabilisation-only option raising the level to 428 m below sea level with pumping of 1.2 billion cubic metres a year; and a full option stabilising at 416 m below sea level with pumping of 1.9 billion cubic metres a year and 850 million cubic metres of fresh water, at a cost of US$10 billion excluding transfers of water to Palestine and Israel.

Inter Press Service reported on 25 February 2013 that the studies, released the month before, judged the 180 km canal technically, environmentally and socio-economically feasible, at a total capital cost of US$9.97 billion, about half to be recovered by selling desalinated water and hydroelectricity and half to come from international development aid, with operation from 2020. Israeli regional development minister Silvan Shalom said "We don't want the Dead Sea to die; we want to revive it," and Gidon Bromberg of Friends of the Earth Middle East (EcoPeace) said "The project doesn't hold water", citing red algae, gypsum and the two waters not mixing. World Bank experts said gypsum precipitation could be mitigated by adding gypsum crystals at the discharge point. MAS reports that the alternatives study examined 21 proposals and found only two that met five criteria: a Mediterranean-Dead Sea conveyance and the Red Sea-Dead Sea conduit; and that the environmental and social assessment found eight elements associated with serious risks.

On Monday 9 December 2013 Israel, Jordan and the Palestinian Authority signed a trilateral memorandum of understanding at the World Bank in Washington, Israel National News reported on 10 December: a new desalination plant at Aqaba as the lynchpin of a sharing deal linking the Red and Dead Seas and the Sea of Galilee, with Jordan providing desalinated water to Eilat, Israel supplying northern Jordan with the same amount of water from the Sea of Galilee, and Israel raising its annual water sales to the Palestinian Authority by 20 to 30 million cubic metres. Israel National News also mentioned a separate US$980 million Jordanian project announced in August 2013. Circle of Blue reported on 27 February 2015 that the agreement then valued at US$900 million would see Jordan build a water intake at Aqaba and pump 200 million cubic metres a year to a desalination facility producing about 80 million cubic metres of fresh water, half to 60 percent of it going to Israel, with Israel selling an extra 50 million cubic metres a year from the Sea of Galilee to Jordan and 20 to 30 million cubic metres to the Palestinian Water Authority. The brine and wastewater going to the Dead Sea would be about 100 million cubic metres a year; experts quoted said stabilising the sea would need about 800 million cubic metres a year. Bromberg said "The Red-Dead project as devised by the initial terms of reference developed at the World Bank no longer exists."

On 17 June 2021 the Times of Israel reported, citing Kan, that Jordan had decided to cancel the joint project and to pursue an internal Aqaba intake and desalination project; unnamed sources told Kan there was "no real Israeli desire" for the plan, and the Times of Israel listed bureaucratic hurdles, financing difficulties, environmentalist objections, Israel's two years without a functioning government and diplomatic tensions as causes of delay. The article put the cost to Israel at around US$1 billion. In February 2022 Environmental Protection Ministry Director-General Galit Cohen named Red Sea water piped through a more modest pipe than the one proposed at the beginning of the millennium as one possible source. The State Comptroller's June 2026 report notes that as of February 2026 the government had not formed a policy on intervening in the fall of the sea, and its footnote gives the estimated annual cost of conveying water from the Red Sea as NIS 303 million. The Geological Survey of Israel told the Comptroller of concern about microbiological and geochemical changes from conveying foreign water into the sea.

  1. 2003NBC News reports a Red-Dead project that could cost as much as US$5 billion; Elias Salameh of the University of Jordan is quoted saying Jordan cannot afford it (10 December)
  2. 2005Israel, Jordan and the Palestinian Authority announce their agreement to study the feasibility of transferring water from the Red Sea to the Dead Sea
  3. 2013January: World Bank studies released, judging the 180 km canal feasible at a capital cost of US$9.97 billion (IPS, 25 February)
  4. 20139 December: trilateral memorandum signed at the World Bank in Washington
  5. 2015February: scaled-back agreement valued at US$900 million (Circle of Blue, 27 February)
  6. 202117 June: Jordan reported to have decided to cancel the joint project
  7. 202216 February: Director-General Cohen names Red Sea water via a more modest pipe as one possible source
  8. 2022June: Environmental Protection Ministry draft long-term policy report on intervening in the Dead Sea's water balance (as recorded by the State Comptroller)
  9. 2026June: State Comptroller special report: as of February 2026 the government had formed no policy on intervening in the fall of the sea

What was said

Claims, in the words of those who made them.

“We don't want the Dead Sea to die; we want to revive it,”

Silvan Shalom, Israel's minister for regional development · 25 February 2013 · Inter Press Service

“This is a historic agreement that realizes a dream of many years and the dream of Herzl”

“We showed that we can work together despite the political problems”

“The project doesn't hold water”

Gidon Bromberg, Friends of the Earth Middle East (EcoPeace) · 25 February 2013 · Inter Press Service

“The Red-Dead project as devised by the initial terms of reference developed at the World Bank no longer exists.”

Gidon Bromberg, EcoPeace Middle East · 27 February 2015 · Circle of Blue

“That project has proven to be financially impossible, and environmentally, too many enormous questions marks.”

Gidon Bromberg, EcoPeace Middle East · 27 February 2015 · Circle of Blue

“The three governments spent a year or more trying to figure out what to do.”

Alex McPhail, Task Team Leader, World Bank · 27 February 2015 · Circle of Blue

“no real Israeli desire”

Unnamed sources, as reported by Kan and the Times of Israel · 17 June 2021 · The Times of Israel

Where accounts differ

Each party's account, side by side, with its source. The record does not settle these points; it shows them.

Cost of the conveyance
International bodies
World Bank feasibility study, as reported by IPS (2013)

Total capital cost of US$9.97 billion, about half to be recovered by selling desalinated water and hydroelectricity and half from international development aid.

Inter Press Service
Press and investigations
Fanack

US$10.6 billion for the preferred pipeline option; no financing proposals were made; the scaled-back project US$950 million.

Fanack Water
Communities and civil society
EcoPeace's Gidon Bromberg (2015)

The original project proved financially impossible; the 2015 agreement was valued at US$900 million (Circle of Blue).

Circle of Blue
Press and investigations
Times of Israel (2021)

The canal would have cost Israel around US$1 billion.

The Times of Israel
Effects of the conveyance on the Dead Sea and the Red Sea
International bodies
World Bank experts (as reported by IPS, 2013)

Gypsum precipitation could be mitigated by adding gypsum crystals at the discharge location; a modelling study recommended an intake depth of at least 140 m to protect Red Sea coral reefs.

Inter Press Service
Communities and civil society
Friends of the Earth Middle East / EcoPeace (Gidon Bromberg, 2013)

'The two bodies of water won't mix, like oil and water'; concern about gypsum deposits, red algae blooms and pipe rupture in an earthquake polluting groundwater.

Inter Press Service
Researchers
Geological Survey of Israel (May 2026 reply to the Comptroller)

Concern about microbiological and geochemical changes in the Dead Sea from conveying foreign water into it.

State Comptroller of Israel
Company or project
ICL Group (citing a Geological Survey study)

An inflow of up to 400 million cubic metres a year is not expected to cause adverse material environmental effects; an inflow of about 250 million cubic metres a year would moderate the fall by about 35 cm a year.

ICL Group
Whether the scaled-back plan could stop the sea's fall
Communities and civil society
Experts quoted by Circle of Blue (2015)

About 100 million cubic metres of brine and wastewater a year would not halt the decline; stabilisation would need about 800 million cubic metres a year.

Circle of Blue
Government and regulators
Silvan Shalom (2013)

'The best option is a canal to pump 2 cubic billion metres a year from the Red Sea.'

Inter Press Service
Why the joint project ended
Press and investigations
Unnamed sources via Kan (June 2021)

There was 'no real Israeli desire' for the plan to go ahead.

The Times of Israel
Communities and civil society
EcoPeace's Gidon Bromberg (2015)

The project proved financially impossible and raised enormous environmental questions.

Circle of Blue
Government and regulators
Governments of Israel and Jordan

No statement on the reasons appears in the sources reviewed.

The Palestinian role and interest in the project
Communities and civil society
Dr Jad Isaac, Applied Research Institute - Jerusalem (as summarised by MAS, March 2013)

The decline of the Dead Sea results from Israel's exploitation of the Jordan River's water.

Palestine Economic Policy Research Institute (MAS)
Communities and civil society
Dr Numan Kanafani, MAS (March 2013)

Some leaks suggested that the Jordanian and Israeli sides had started the project without notifying the Palestinian side.

Palestine Economic Policy Research Institute (MAS)
Government and regulators
Palestinian Authority water minister Shaddad Attili (December 2013)

At the signing, said the parties showed they can work together despite the political problems.

Israel National News

How it looked

What was shown, beside what was recorded.

Shown

  • The canal was presented as a way to halt and eventually reverse the Dead Sea's decline while producing desalinated water and electricity, with half the cost recovered from sales.
    World Bank studies, as reported by Inter Press Service · Inter Press Service
  • The 2013 memorandum was presented as a historic agreement ending 11 years of negotiations.
    Silvan Shalom and Israel National News · Israel National News

Recorded

  • No pipeline was built. Jordan was reported on 17 June 2021 to have cancelled the joint project.
  • The scaled-back project would send about 100 million cubic metres a year of brine and wastewater to the Dead Sea; experts quoted by Circle of Blue said stabilising the sea would need about 800 million cubic metres a year.
  • As of February 2026 the Israeli government had not formed a policy on whether to intervene in the sea's fall.
  • The sources reviewed record no spending on construction; the study programme's cost is given as US$16.7 million (Fanack) or about US$16 million (MAS).

In nature's name

What was promised in nature's name, the money that moved, and what was measured.

Promised

  • “We don't want the Dead Sea to die; we want to revive it,” — Silvan Shalom, Israel's minister for regional development, as quoted by Inter Press Service (25 February 2013) Inter Press Service
  • “This is a historic agreement that realizes a dream of many years and the dream of Herzl” — Silvan Shalom, Israel, at the signing (9 December 2013) Israel National News

Money moved in nature's name

WhatKindAmountPeriod
World Bank study programme: cost of the five studies (Fanack; MAS (2013) gives 'about $16 million')
Multi-donor trust fund of eight countries managed by the World Bank
Fanack Water
Spent$17mto 2013
Capital cost of the conveyance in the feasibility study (World Bank estimate as reported by IPS; Fanack gives US$10.6 billion for the preferred option; no financing proposals were made)
World Bank study
Inter Press Service
Budget$10bn estimate2013 estimate
Value of the scaled-back Israel-Jordan-Palestinian agreement (valued at US$900 million (Circle of Blue); Fanack gives US$950 million; no source records funds spent on construction)
Israel, Jordan and the Palestinian Authority
Circle of Blue
Budget$900m2015
Separate Jordanian Red Sea-Dead Sea project announced in August 2013 (mentioned by Israel National News; no further source)
Jordan
Israel National News
Budget$980m2013
Cost to Israel of the canal, as reported ('around $1 billion', Times of Israel (2021))
Israel
The Times of Israel
Budget$1bn estimate2021 report
Estimated annual cost of conveying water from the Red Sea (per year; footnote in the State Comptroller's report, from the 2022 draft policy report)
Environmental Protection Ministry draft
State Comptroller of Israel
Budget303m NIS estimate2022

Benefit to nature: what was measured

Not measured

No pipeline was built, so no independent measurement of the project's effect on the Dead Sea exists. The projected levels come from the World Bank feasibility study as summarised by a Palestinian research institute (MAS, 2013) and are model projections.

Projected level, stabilisation-only option
428 m below sea level
Feasibility study as summarised by MAS (2013); requires pumping 1.2 billion m3 a year; a projection Palestine Economic Policy Research Institute (MAS)
Projected level, full option
416 m below sea level
Feasibility study as summarised by MAS (2013); pumping 1.9 billion m3 a year and 850 million m3 of fresh water; a projection Palestine Economic Policy Research Institute (MAS)
Projected level without a project
550 m below sea level in 150 years
MAS summary of the feasibility study Palestine Economic Policy Research Institute (MAS)
Pipeline built
None
Jordan reported to have cancelled the joint project (June 2021) The Times of Israel
The scaled-back project's roughly 100 million cubic metres a year of brine and wastewater, against about 800 million cubic metres a year that experts said stabilisation would need. Circle of Blue

Operation Cancelled · Jordan was reported on 17 June 2021 to have decided to cancel the joint project and to pursue an internal Aqaba intake and desalination project instead. The Times of Israel

Findings on record

  • Official audit State Comptroller of Israel, special report on the government's handling of the fall of the northern basin of the Dead Sea (2026-06) · Aspects of the Government's Handling of the Fall in the Water Level of the Northern Basin of the Dead Sea and Its Effects (summary): “נכון לפברואר 2026 טרם גיבשה הממשלה מדיניות בנושא” original in Hebrew State Comptroller of Israel

Who gained

Money that reached nature, beside money that stayed elsewhere.

Reached nature or the ground

Not published
World Bank study programme, five studies$17m
Fanack; MAS (2013) gives about US$16 million. Financed by a multi-donor trust fund of eight countries.

Gained elsewhere

Not totalled
Currency: USD · Window: 2005-2021. All figures cover the same period. * Estimate built from cited figures.

Responses on record

  • World Bank (27 February 2015): Its task team leader said in 2015 that the three governments spent a year or more trying to figure out what to do; the Bank's feasibility study found negative impacts could be mitigated and managed, according to press reports of its studies. · Circle of Blue
  • Government of Jordan (17 June 2021): No statement giving reasons for ending the joint project appears in the sources reviewed; Kan reported that Jordan would pursue an internal Aqaba project. · The Times of Israel
  • Government of Israel (9 December 2013): Minister Silvan Shalom called the 2013 agreement historic; no Israeli government statement on the 2021 report appears in the sources reviewed. · Israel National News
  • Palestinian Authority (9 December 2013): Water minister Shaddad Attili said at the signing that the parties showed they can work together despite the political problems. · Israel National News

In court and with insurers

Every proceeding and every insurer decision on record.

Lawsuits and rulings

No court case on record. No court has ruled on this case.

Insurers

No insurer decision on record.

What nature saw

Outcomes measured on the ground, and nature's note.

Nature's report opens this page. Below: further outcomes measured on the ground.

Pipeline built
None
Jordan reported to have cancelled the joint project, June 2021 (Times of Israel)
Projected level with the full option
stable at 416 m below sea level
World Bank feasibility study as summarised by MAS (2013); a projection, with 1.9 billion m3 a year pumped
Brine and wastewater to the sea under the 2015 scaled-back plan
about 100 million m3 a year
Circle of Blue; experts said about 800 million m3 a year would be needed to stabilise the sea

What we don't know

Undisclosed, unproven, untried: recorded as data.

Nature

  • Not measured Harm to nature: The record holds no measurement of harm to nature.
  • Disputed Effects of the conveyance on the Dead Sea and the Red Sea
  • Disputed Whether the scaled-back plan could stop the sea's fall

Accounts

  • Disputed Cost of the conveyance
  • Disputed Why the joint project ended
  • Disputed The Palestinian role and interest in the project
  • None on record Governments of Israel and Jordan: No statement on the reasons appears in the sources reviewed.

Record

  • None on record None on record: any measurement of the project's effect on the Dead Sea; no pipeline was built, and the level projections come from the World Bank studies as summarised by MAS (2013).
  • Unclear None on record: construction spending on the conveyance; the sources reviewed give the study programme's cost (US$16.7 million per Fanack; about US$16 million per MAS) and cost estimates, not outlays.
  • Disputed Disputed: the cost. IPS gives US$9.97 billion (World Bank estimate), Fanack US$10.6 billion for the preferred option, MAS US$10 billion; the scaled-back agreement is US$900 million (Circle of Blue), US$950 million (Fanack), and Israel National News mentions a separate US$980 million Jordanian project.
  • None on record None on record: a statement by the Governments of Jordan or Israel giving their reasons for ending the joint project; the reasons in the sources are those of unnamed sources via Kan and the Times of Israel, and EcoPeace.
  • Unclear Unclear: the exact date of the 2015 signing; Circle of Blue dated its article 27 February 2015 and the sources opened give no signing date.

Did the harm stop?

Not applicable to the project: it was not built. The sources reviewed show the Dead Sea's fall continuing (State Comptroller, June 2026).

Who paid?

The study programme was financed by a multi-donor trust fund of eight countries (France, Greece, Italy, Japan, the Netherlands, South Korea, Sweden and the United States, per Fanack) at US$16.7 million. The sources reviewed record no construction payments; the full project was to be about half recovered from sales and half from international development aid (IPS).

Sources

Voices on record: ✓ Company or project✓ Government and regulators— Courts✓ Press and investigations✓ Communities and civil society— Researchers

Connected cases

Related matters, and cases linked to this one through the same organisations, with the role each played in both.

Science and environment

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Formal legal recognition of ownership of land.
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Government agencies that act on behalf of the public to recover and spend damages for harm to natural resources.

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The International Oil Pollution Compensation Funds: intergovernmental funds, financed by companies that receive oil by sea, that pay for tanker oil-spill damage above the shipowner's liability limit.

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