Mongolia index livestock insurance
Mongolia's index-based livestock insurance programme splits herd losses between herders, private insurers and the government. In the 2023–24 winter, 8.1 million animals were reported to have died; the research found no payout figure.
According to a World Bank presentation. The research found no insurance payout figure for the 2023–24 winter, in which 8.1 million animals were reported to have died.
Status As of the latest sources reviewed (October 2026): no insurance payout figure was found for the 2023–24 dzud winter, in which 7.2 to 8.1 million animals were reported dead.
- Participating insurers (not named in the sources reviewed) — Their losses are capped at 105% of premiums by the government's catastrophic layer. World Bank (hosted on the Financial Protection Forum)
- Herders — Retain mortality up to about 10%; only 7–20% buy cover in a given year. World Bank (hosted on the Financial Protection Forum)
- Herders and their herds — 7.2 million (FAO GIEWS) to 8.1 million (research) animals died in the 2023–24 dzud; the insurance payout was not found. FAO GIEWS (via ReliefWeb)
What happened
Mongolia's index-based livestock insurance programme is described in a World Bank presentation as having three layers. Herders retain animal mortality up to about 10%. Insurers pay above that level. The government covers catastrophic losses, above about 25–30%. The government's catastrophic layer caps insurers' losses at 105% of premiums. Only 7–20% of herders buy cover in a given year, according to the same presentation.
The presentation gives cumulative figures over ten cycles: "93,700 herders… paying US$405 m. in premiums… 16,545 herders received payout of US$160 m." The research judged the dollar figures likely to be a unit error, because the same presentation gives the 2023 annual premium as MNT 4.9 billion, about US$1.4 million. These cumulative figures are therefore reported but not independently verified.
In the 2023–24 winter, a dzud (extreme winter) killed 8.1 million animals, 12.5% of the herd, according to the research. FAO's Global Information and Early Warning System (GIEWS), in its update of 6 May 2024, put animal deaths at 7.2 million. The research did not find the amount that the insurance programme paid out for that winter.
- 2023Annual premium of MNT 4.9 billion, about US$1.4 million (World Bank presentation)
- 2024FAO GIEWS update (6 May) reports 7.2 million animals dead in the 2023–24 dzud; the research reports 8.1 million (12.5%) and finds no payout data
What was said
Where accounts differ
Each party's account, side by side, with its source. The record does not settle these points; it shows them.
7.2 million animals died in the 2023–24 dzud winter.
FAO GIEWS (via ReliefWeb)8.1 million animals (12.5%) died in the 2023–24 dzud; the source of this figure not on record.
How it looked
Shown
- A three-layer design: herders retain losses up to about 10% mortality, insurers pay above that, and the government covers catastrophic losses above about 25–30%, with insurers' losses capped at 105% of premiums.World Bank presentation on the Mongolia index-based livestock insurance programme · World Bank (hosted on the Financial Protection Forum)
Recorded
- Only 7–20% of herders buy cover in a given year.
- The government's catastrophic layer caps insurers' losses at 105% of premiums.
- The 2023 annual premium was MNT 4.9 billion (about US$1.4 million, per the research's conversion).
- FAO GIEWS reported 7.2 million animals dead in the 2023–24 dzud winter (6 May 2024 update).
- The research reported 8.1 million animals (12.5%) dead in the 2023–24 dzud; the amount paid by the insurance was not found.
In court and with insurers
Lawsuits and rulings
Insurers
- 2024No policy foundPrivate insurers in the programme (not named in the sources reviewed) → Mongolian herders (7–20% buying cover in a given year)
Index-based livestock insurance in three layers: herders retain mortality up to about 10%, insurers pay above that, and the government covers catastrophic losses above about 25–30%, capping insurers' losses at 105% of premiums. The 2023 annual premium was MNT 4.9 billion. No payout figure was found for the 2023–24 dzud winter. World Bank (hosted on the Financial Protection Forum)
What nature saw
Nature's report opens this page. Below: further outcomes measured on the ground.
What we don't know
Nature
- Not measured Harm to nature: The record holds no measurement of harm to nature.
Insurers
- Unclear Private insurers in the programme (not named in the sources reviewed): no decision on record.
Figures
- Insufficient Herders insured cumulative: From the presentation's cumulative figures, reported but not independently verified.
- Insufficient Herders paid cumulative: From the presentation's cumulative figures, reported but not independently verified.
- Insufficient Premium cumulative: The presentation states US$405 million in premiums over ten cycles; the research judged this likely a unit error.
- Insufficient Payout cumulative: The presentation states US$160 million in payouts over ten cycles; the research judged this likely a unit error.
Accounts
- Disputed How many animals died in Mongolia's 2023–24 dzud?
Record
- None on record Insurance payout for the 2023–24 dzud: payout data was not found.
- Insufficient Reported but not independently verified: the presentation's cumulative figures of 93,700 herders paying US$405 million in premiums and 16,545 herders receiving US$160 million in payouts. The research judged the dollar figures likely a unit error, because the same presentation gives the 2023 annual premium as MNT 4.9 billion (about US$1.4 million); the currency of the cumulative premium is unconfirmed.
- Disputed Animals dead in the 2023–24 dzud: FAO GIEWS reported 7.2 million (May 2024); the research reported 8.1 million (12.5%). The sources conflict.
Did the harm stop?
The sources do not describe a point at which harm stopped; the programme and the 2023–24 losses are recorded separately.
Who paid?
In the programme design, herders retain mortality up to about 10% and the government covers losses above about 25–30%; the sources reviewed do not say who bore the 2023–24 losses beyond that.
Sources
International bodies
- Mongolia Index-Based Livestock Insurance Project (presentation deck)World Bank (hosted on the Financial Protection Forum) ·
- GIEWS Update: Mongolia, 6 May 2024 - extreme winter weather known as dzud driving acute food insecurity among pastoral householdsFAO GIEWS (via ReliefWeb) · 2024-05-06
Connected cases
- 1991 World Bank memo signed by Lawrence Summers on pollution in Africa Africa (regional) · 1991–1993
- World Bank (International organisation) — here: Author of the presentation describing the programme; there: Institution that issued the internal memo
- Cambodia fills Phnom Penh's Boeung Kak lake with sand under 99-year lease Cambodia · 2007–2011
- World Bank (International organisation) — here: Author of the presentation describing the programme; there: lender whose land-titling programme was reviewed
- Costa Rica payments for ecosystem services and forest recovery Costa Rica · 1997
- World Bank (International organisation) — here: Author of the presentation describing the programme; there: Results-based carbon payer
- FAO data show Philippine old-growth forest was 3.3% of land by 1998 Philippines · 1989–1998
- Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) (International organisation) — here: Source of the GIEWS dzud update; there: source of the forest and trade figures
- Green Belt Movement and Karura Forest, Kenya Kenya · 1977–2023
- World Bank (International organisation) — here: Author of the presentation describing the programme; there: Signed a carbon-credit agreement with the Green Belt Movement
- Ho Chi Minh City canal restoration demolished about 7,000 households Vietnam · 1993–2012
- World Bank (International organisation) — here: Author of the presentation describing the programme; there: lender of the first-phase loan
- India's 1975–77 Emergency sterilisation drive drew a $66 million World Bank loan India · 1975–1977
- World Bank (International organisation) — here: Author of the presentation describing the programme; there: Lender
- Jamaica catastrophe bonds and the Hurricane Melissa payout Jamaica · 2021–2025
- World Bank (International organisation) — here: Author of the presentation describing the programme; there: Issuer and arranger of the catastrophe bonds
- Jamaica's World Bank catastrophe bond did not pay after Hurricane Beryl Jamaica · 2024
- World Bank (International organisation) — here: Author of the presentation describing the programme; there: Brokered the bond
- Kenya's two official figures: 8.83% forest cover and 12.13% tree cover Kenya · 2001–2026
- Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) (International organisation) — here: Source of the GIEWS dzud update; there: global forest definition and assessment
- Lagos waterfront evictions (Otodo-Gbame, Badia East) and Eko Atlantic Nigeria · 2014–2026
- World Bank (International organisation) — here: Author of the presentation describing the programme; there: Funder of a project in the Badia East area
- Mbeubeuss landfill plan to hire 500 of more than 3,000 waste pickers Senegal · 2025
- World Bank (International organisation) — here: Author of the presentation describing the programme; there: finances the Mbeubeuss rehabilitation, as reported
- Mekong sand mining (Cambodia, Vietnam) Cambodia and Vietnam · 2007–2026
- World Bank (International organisation) — here: Author of the presentation describing the programme; there: Inspection Panel finding on Boeung Kak land titling; lending freeze 2011
- Nepal community forestry Nepal · 2000–2026
- World Bank (International organisation) — here: Author of the presentation describing the programme; there: Funder of carbon payments (Forest Carbon Partnership Facility)
- Olkaria geothermal projects (Kenya) Kenya · 2013–2017
- World Bank (International organisation) — here: Author of the presentation describing the programme; there: Financier; its Inspection Panel reviewed the resettlement
- Rabobank co-financed a Brazilian eucalyptus carbon plantation contested by locals Brazil · 2003–2008
- World Bank (International organisation) — here: Author of the presentation describing the programme; there: operator of the carbon fund
- Sengwer evictions from Embobut forest and the EU Water Towers programme (Kenya) Kenya · 2014–2024
- World Bank (International organisation) — here: Author of the presentation describing the programme; there: Funder of an earlier forest project (2007)
- Sri Lanka fertiliser ban Sri Lanka · 2021
- World Bank (International organisation) — here: Author of the presentation describing the programme; there: Source of the paddy yield figure
- Uzbek cotton boycott ends forced labour Uzbekistan · 2017–2026
- World Bank (International organisation) — here: Author of the presentation describing the programme; there: Lender (USD 800 million, October 2025)
- Vietnam's forest recovery and logging displaced abroad Vietnam · 1987–2006
- Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) (International organisation) — here: Source of the GIEWS dzud update; there: Author of the 2001 review of logging bans
- World Bank $100m plastic waste bond tied to Verra credit sales Multiple countries · 2024
- World Bank (International organisation) — here: Author of the presentation describing the programme; there: issuer of the bond
- World Bank $800m Uzbekistan operation; Tanzania project halted Uzbekistan · 2017–2025
- World Bank (International organisation) — here: Author of the presentation describing the programme; there: lender; policy operation and REGROW financier
- World Bank and development bank accountability mechanisms: Embobut (Sengwer), Tata Mundra, Arun III, Jale, Cambodia Kenya · 2007–2024
- World Bank (International organisation) — here: Author of the presentation describing the programme; there: Funder of the Kenya project; hosts the Inspection Panel
- World Bank inspection panel registers complaint over Rogun dam financing Tajikistan · 2024–2025
- World Bank (International organisation) — here: Author of the presentation describing the programme; there: financier
- World Bank REGROW project, Ruaha National Park Tanzania · 2017–2025
- World Bank (International organisation) — here: Author of the presentation describing the programme; there: Financier of the REGROW project
- World Bank US$600m farm loan coincided with a 90% fall in farm support Turkey · 2001–2003
- World Bank (International organisation) — here: Author of the presentation describing the programme; there: Lender of the US$600m loan
- World Bank-backed Colombo flood work turned Beddagana wetland into a park Sri Lanka · 2010–2018
- World Bank (International organisation) — here: Author of the presentation describing the programme; there: Funder whose support backed the programme