Altyn Asyr (Golden Age) Turkmen Lake: a drainage-water reservoir in the Karakum
- Foreign experts quoted by FAO claim that my lake water will disappear through evaporation, leaving salt sediments that will poison the entire area. FAO
- At Sarykamysh, my drainage-fed lake of about 8 km³, FAO records permanent accumulation of pollutant salt, which leads to the degradation of flora and fauna. FAO
- The water in my rivers and drainage networks contains high concentrations of salts and pesticides, according to FAO. FAO
- International bodies FAO (2012): Since 2009 the collectors have been diverting up to 10 km³ of saline drainage water to the lake annually. FAO
- Government and regulators Turkmen embassy item (year not given): The depression currently holds about 580 million m³. Embassy of Turkmenistan in Afghanistan
- Government and regulators Local water experts, as recorded by FAO: The lake will reclaim 450,000 ha of waterlogged land and dramatically reduce salinization in the Amu Darya. FAO
- International bodies Foreign experts, as recorded by FAO: The lake water will disappear through evaporation, leaving salt sediments that will poison the entire area. FAO
- Communities and civil society Critics in Turkmenistan and Karakalpakstan (names withheld), to IWPR: The damage will exceed the benefit. IWPR
Turkmenistan built a system of collectors to channel saline drainage water into a reservoir in the Karashor depression in the Karakum desert. Reported costs range from USD 4 billion to USD 6.5 billion, and the government has not published a precise figure.
IWPR, 2009: USD 4 billion cited in 2002, later USD 6.5 billion. AP and Circle of Blue, 2009: up to or about USD 4.5 billion.
Status As of the latest dated official event, 8 May 2019: a state-organised conference and excursion were held at the lake; the government has published no precise cost.
- Turkmen state — Opened the first stage on 15 July 2009 and presented the lake as bringing new life to the desert NBC News
- Turkmen state budget — A cost reported at USD 4 billion to USD 6.5 billion; the government has published no precise figure IWPR
- Karashor depression — Receives saline drainage water, up to 10 km³ a year since 2009 according to FAO; foreign experts quoted by FAO expect salt sediments after evaporation FAO
What happened
A presidential decision of 2000 under Saparmurat Niyazov started construction of a lake in the Karashor (Garashor) depression, in the central and northern Karakum on the border of Ahal and Dashoguz provinces, 350 km north of Ashgabat, according to FAO. The first stage was opened by Gurbanguly Berdimuhamedov on 15 July 2009. According to FAO's AQUASTAT profile (2012 version), the lake is to be filled through the Great Turkmen Collector from the south and the Dashoguz Collector from the north, 'with a combined length of over 1 000 km'; its capacity is 'foreseen to be 150 km3, with a surface area of 3 500 km2 and a depth of 130 m'; and 'Starting in 2009, the collectors have been diverting up to 10 km3 of saline drainage water to the lake annually'. The project aims to stop drainage discharge into the Amu Darya.
AP reported on 16 July 2009 a planned area of 770 square miles, a depth of around 230 feet, a volume of more than 4,600 billion cubic feet, 1,650 miles of tributary canals, a cost of 'up to $4.5 billion' and about 15 years to fill. Çakır (2016), drawing on work as an Islamic Development Bank expert, gave a design capacity of 132 km³ with an annual average flow of 11 km³, a Dashoguz branch carrying 210 m³/s over 383.8 km and a 720 km main drainage canal across the Karakum. A Turkmen embassy news item (dated 30 May, year not given) said the Academy of Sciences' Institute of Chemistry had completed hydrochemical studies and produced salinity maps, that the system had 2,859 km of drainage collectors and 1,553 km of canals, and that water was diverted 'to ecologically safe place – the Garashor Hollow', without giving salinity values.
Çakır (2016) reported drainage water salinity measured in laboratories of the Turkmen ministry and the Turkmensuvylymtaslama Institute, from data of the 1990s–2000s: an average of 2.31–4.22 g/l in the Dashoguz collectors, 6.15–15.0 g/l in the Mary region collectors ('unusable for the purposes of irrigation') and 2.0–20.0 g/l in the Ahal collectors, with total national drainage water of 5.6–6.0 km³ a year. FAO (2012), citing Stanchin and Lerman (2006), recorded that foreign experts 'claim that the lake water will simply disappear through evaporation under the fierce desert sun, leaving salt sediments that will poison the entire area', and that at the existing drainage-fed Sarykamysh lake of about 8 km³ there is 'permanent accumulation of pollutant salt. which leads to the degradation of flora and fauna'. Evaporation from water surfaces is 1000–2300 mm a year against rainfall of 76–380 mm (Çakır 2016), a national figure.
Local water experts, as recorded by FAO, argued that the lake would 'reclaim 450 000 ha of waterlogged land, dramatically reduce salinization in the Amu Darya' and allow recycling after partial desalination. In 2009 critics in Turkmenistan, whose names IWPR withheld for security reasons, said the damage would exceed the benefit; one Ashgabat analyst said, 'The benefits of constructing the Turkmen lake are like ankle-high water, whereas the damage will be knee-high.' A Karakalpakstan environmentalist asked IWPR how a desert lake could be 'more important than the lives of millions of people'. Berdimuhamedov said at the opening: 'We have brought new life to these once-lifeless sands.'
On cost, IWPR reported on 31 July 2009 that USD 4 billion was cited in 2002 and later rose to USD 6.5 billion, and that the government had been 'reticent' about precise spending. AP gave 'up to $4.5 billion' and Circle of Blue 'about $4.5 billion of investment', both in July 2009. A Turkmen embassy item (dated 7 January, year not given) said the depression 'currently holds about 580 million cubic meters' and that the president ordered the lake's water volume and quality to be studied. The Islamic Development Bank provided 'technical and financial support' for Çakır's expert stay, with no amount given. The last state-organised conference and excursion at the lake on record took place on 8 May 2019.
- 2000Presidential decision and start of construction under Saparmurat Niyazov
- 2002Cost of USD 4 billion cited (IWPR)
- 2009First stage opened by Gurbanguly Berdimuhamedov (15 Jul); collectors begin diverting saline drainage water, up to 10 km³ a year (FAO)
- 2012FAO AQUASTAT profile records the design and the experts' warnings
- 2016Çakır publishes drainage-water salinity data from the 1990s–2000s
- 2019State-organised conference and excursion at the lake (8 May)
What was said
“We have brought new life to these once-lifeless sands. I am convinced that our great deeds will be recalled with glory”
“The benefits of constructing the Turkmen lake are like ankle-high water, whereas the damage will be knee-high.”
“Imagine a children's sandpit, and a huge tanker truck begins pouring water into it.”
“is related with the deficiency of water in the world”
Where accounts differ
Each party's account, side by side, with its source. The record does not settle these points; it shows them.
Design capacity of 132 km³ with an annual average flow of 11 km³.
Scientific Papers Series E, Land Reclamation, Earth Observation & Surveying, Environmental Engineering, Vol. VPlanned area of 770 square miles, depth around 230 feet and volume of more than 4,600 billion cubic feet.
NBC NewsA surface of about 2,000 km².
Circle of Blue (Nadya Ivanova)Since 2009 the collectors have been diverting up to 10 km³ of saline drainage water to the lake annually.
FAOThe depression currently holds about 580 million m³.
Embassy of Turkmenistan in AfghanistanThe lake will reclaim 450,000 ha of waterlogged land and dramatically reduce salinization in the Amu Darya.
FAOThe lake water will disappear through evaporation, leaving salt sediments that will poison the entire area.
FAOThe damage will exceed the benefit.
IWPRHow it looked
Shown
- A lake that brings 'new life' to 'once-lifeless sands'President Gurbanguly Berdimuhamedov, 15 July 2009 · NBC News
- A lake that will reclaim 450,000 ha of waterlogged land, dramatically reduce salinization in the Amu Darya and allow recycling of water after partial desalinationLocal water experts, as recorded by FAO (2012) · FAO
- Drainage water diverted 'to ecologically safe place – the Garashor Hollow'Turkmen embassy news item on the Institute of Chemistry studies · Embassy of Turkmenistan in Afghanistan
Recorded
- Drainage water salinity averages 2.31–4.22 g/l in the Dashoguz collectors and 6.15–15.0 g/l in the Mary collectors (1990s–2000s data, Çakır 2016)
- Collectors 'diverting up to 10 km3 of saline drainage water to the lake annually' since 2009 (FAO 2012)
- A depression holding about 580 million m³ (Turkmen embassy item, year not given)
- 2,859 km of drainage collectors and 1,553 km of canals (Turkmen embassy item, year not given)
- Costs reported between USD 4 billion and USD 6.5 billion; no precise government figure
Who gained
Reached nature or the ground
Gained elsewhere
Responses on record
- turkmenistan-gov (2009; 2012): President Berdimuhamedov said at the opening in 2009 that the lake brought new life to once-lifeless sands; local water experts argued that it would reclaim 450,000 ha of waterlogged land and reduce salinization in the Amu Darya (as recorded by FAO). · NBC News
- turkmenistan-gov (year not given): An embassy item reported that the Institute of Chemistry had completed hydrochemical studies and that the president ordered the water volume and quality to be studied. · Embassy of Turkmenistan in Afghanistan
In court and with insurers
Lawsuits and rulings
Insurers
What nature saw
Nature's report opens this page. Below: further outcomes measured on the ground.
What we don't know
Nature
Accounts
- Disputed Design and size of the lake
Record
- Not disclosed Not disclosed: the government has published no precise spending figure for the lake; IWPR described it as 'reticent' about costs in 2009.
- Not disclosed Not disclosed: numeric salinity values in the Turkmen embassy item on the Institute of Chemistry's hydrochemical studies.
- Not disclosed Not disclosed: the amount of the Islamic Development Bank's 'technical and financial support' for the expert stay.
- Not measured Not measured: a peer-reviewed, lake-specific evaporation or water-balance study; the 1000–2300 mm a year evaporation figure is a regional one.
- Disputed Disputed: the design of the lake. FAO gives 150 km³, 3,500 km² and 130 m; Çakır gives 132 km³; AP gives 770 square miles and more than 4,600 billion cubic feet; Circle of Blue gives about 2,000 km².
- Disputed Disputed: how much water the lake receives. FAO says the collectors have been diverting up to 10 km³ a year since 2009; a Turkmen embassy item (year not given) says the depression currently holds about 580 million m³.
- Unclear Unclear: which river water might supplement the lake. AP mentions the Syr Darya; Circle of Blue says the design 'does not envision' pumping from the Amu Darya.
- Insufficient Insufficient: monitoring data newer than about 2019; the latest state-organised event on record was on 8 May 2019.
- None on record None on record: legal proceedings.
- None on record None on record: insurance.
Did the harm stop?
None on record: no source states that drainage discharge into the Amu Darya has stopped. The project aims to stop it (FAO, 2012).
Who paid?
Not disclosed: the government has published no precise cost. IWPR reported USD 4 billion cited in 2002, later rising to USD 6.5 billion.
Sources
Government and regulators
- Altyn Asyr Lake – New Opportunities for the RegionConsulate of Turkmenistan, Mazar-i-Sharif · 2019-05-08
- News item on Institute of Chemistry hydrochemical studiesEmbassy of Turkmenistan in Afghanistan · 30 May (year not given)
- News item on Altyn Asyr water volumeEmbassy of Turkmenistan in Afghanistan · 7 January (year not given)
Press and investigations
- Huge lake being filled in Turkmenistan desert (AP)NBC News · 2009-07-16
- Turkmen Golden Lake May Prove Green DisasterIWPR · 2009-07-31
- Turkmenistan Vows to Water its Desert, Write New Tale of GloryCircle of Blue (Nadya Ivanova) · 2009-07-17
Researchers
- Evaluation of tail and drainage waters acceptability for reuse in agriculture in dry regions (Çakır)Scientific Papers Series E, Land Reclamation, Earth Observation & Surveying, Environmental Engineering, Vol. V · 2016
International bodies
Connected cases
- Garagum Canal and Amu Darya: conveyance losses, salinisation and the money around them Turkmenistan · 1954–2026
- Government of Turkmenistan (Government) — here: Built and opened the lake; has published no precise cost; there: Operator of the canal; State Committee for Water Management signed the memorandum
- Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) (International organisation) — here: AQUASTAT country profile with design figures and experts' warnings; there: AQUASTAT profile with loss, salinity and cost figures
- Darvaza gas crater: orders to extinguish the fire, wells drilled, methane measured Turkmenistan · 1971–2026
- Government of Turkmenistan (Government) — here: Built and opened the lake; has published no precise cost; there: President ordered the fire extinguished; consulate item on halved emissions
- FAO data show Philippine old-growth forest was 3.3% of land by 1998 Philippines · 1989–1998
- Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) (International organisation) — here: AQUASTAT country profile with design figures and experts' warnings; there: source of the forest and trade figures
- Kenya's two official figures: 8.83% forest cover and 12.13% tree cover Kenya · 2001–2026
- Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) (International organisation) — here: AQUASTAT country profile with design figures and experts' warnings; there: global forest definition and assessment
- Methane super-emitters in Turkmenistan's oil and gas fields Turkmenistan · 2017–2026
- Government of Turkmenistan (Government) — here: Built and opened the lake; has published no precise cost; there: Joined the Global Methane Pledge; published the draft Roadmap
- Mongolia index livestock insurance Mongolia · 2024
- Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) (International organisation) — here: AQUASTAT country profile with design figures and experts' warnings; there: Source of the GIEWS dzud update
- Mongolia's dzud winters and degraded pasture: emergency funding for herders Mongolia · 2010–2024
- Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) (International organisation) — here: AQUASTAT country profile with design figures and experts' warnings; there: CERF recipient agency
- Vietnam's forest recovery and logging displaced abroad Vietnam · 1987–2006
- Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) (International organisation) — here: AQUASTAT country profile with design figures and experts' warnings; there: Author of the 2001 review of logging bans