Who gains from saving nature
Ledger 1 : 33 — For each dollar financing nature-based solutions in 2023, about $33 financed activities harmful to nature. (UNEP)
Cases / Tree planting · Saudi Arabia · 2021–2026

Saudi Green Initiative: 10 billion trees in Saudi Arabia, 2021 to 2026

Nature's voice · report
'more than 700 billion riyals ($186.63 billion)', stated as the investment the Initiative would attract; covers the Initiative's programmes, not tree planting alone 700 billion SAR were pledged in my name. No one has measured what reached me.
Did nature suffer? Not measured. Accounts differ ↓
Not on record
  • The record does not name which of my species, waters, soils or forests were harmed.
What the record lacks: 3 none on record · 2 insufficient · 1 not measured · 3 disputed · 1 unclear See the gaps
Accounts of the harm differ
The size of the area the 10 billion trees are to rehabilitate
How much has been planted and restored so far
  • Government and regulators Environment, Water and Agriculture Minister Abdulrahman Al-Fadley (July 2025): Over 151 million trees planted and 500,000 hectares rehabilitated. Arab News
  • Government and regulators Ministry of Environment, Water and Agriculture (March 2026): Over 159 million trees planted; the first one million hectares restored; 250,000 hectares by 2024. Ministry of Environment, Water and Agriculture (Saudi Arabia)
  • Press and investigations Gulf News (November 2024): More than 95 million trees and more than 111,000 hectares of degraded land rehabilitated over three years. Gulf News

Launched in March 2021, the Saudi Green Initiative targets 10 billion trees in Saudi Arabia, first described as equivalent to rehabilitating 40 million hectares and later reported with a revised area of 74 to 74.8 million hectares. Official figures rose from 43.9 million trees (July 2024) to over 159 million trees and one million hectares restored (March 2026); no independent measurement of trees planted or survival was found.

over 159 million trees; first one million hectaresTrees planted and land restored under the Saudi Green Initiative, as reported by the Ministry of Environment, Water and Agriculture (page dated 27 March 2026)
Government figure against a target of 10 billion trees; the Ministry's page states 10 billion trees as equivalent to rehabilitating 40 million hectares. No independent count is on record in the sources reviewed.

Status As of March 2026: the Ministry reports over 159 million trees planted and the first one million hectares restored, against a target of 10 billion trees; no independent count or survival data is on record.

What?
A national programme to plant 10 billion trees in Saudi Arabia and rehabilitate degraded land, part of the Saudi Green Initiative announced in March 2021. The National
Where?
Across Saudi Arabia: cities, highways, greenbelts, mangroves, wetlands, mountain forests, grasslands, national parks and valleys. York University blog carrying Asharq Al-Awsat
When?
Announced March 2021; Phase 1 2024 to 2030; Phase 2 after 2030; progress reported through March 2026. Arab News
Who?
Gained
Lost
None on record
Harmed
None on record
Why?
To raise vegetation cover, reduce carbon emissions, combat pollution and land degradation (Crown Prince, 2021). The National
How?
A national afforestation programme under a roadmap based on a feasibility study with over 1,150 field surveys; reported plans to integrate existing environmental projects. York University blog carrying Asharq Al-Awsat
6 of 6 questions answered from the record

What happened

The record, in order.

The Saudi Green Initiative (SGI) was announced in March 2021 by Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman. The National reported on 5 April 2021 that the Initiative would attract more than 700 billion riyals ($186.63 billion) in investment and listed a target to "Plant 10 billion trees in Saudi Arabia and 50 billion across the Middle East"; it quoted the Crown Prince as saying the aims were "to raise vegetation cover, reduce carbon emissions, combat pollution and land degradation". It also reported two climate initiatives worth 39 billion riyals ($10.4bn), "with Saudi Arabia contributing 15 per cent". In October 2023 the SGI announced a roadmap in a press statement: Phase 1 would plant 600 million trees from 2024 to 2030 and Phase 2 the remainder after 2030, with trees chosen to suit native varieties and placed in cities, highways and greenbelts; the statement gave no total hectares, costs or budget.

Official progress figures, as reported: 18 million trees and 60,000 hectares restored in 2023 (Climate Scorecard); 43.9 million trees and 94,000 hectares rehabilitated since launch (Asharq Al-Awsat, 22 July 2024, citing unnamed sources); more than 95 million trees and more than 111,000 hectares rehabilitated over three years (Gulf News, 1 November 2024); over 151 million trees and 500,000 hectares rehabilitated, stated by Environment, Water and Agriculture Minister Abdulrahman Al-Fadley (Arab News, 31 July 2025); and, on the Ministry's page dated 27 March 2026, over 159 million trees and the first one million hectares restored, with restored land at 18,000 hectares at the start and 250,000 hectares by 2024 and 2.5 million hectares expected by 2030. The UNCCD Executive Secretary Dr. Yasmine Fouad was quoted on the Ministry's page: "This achievement proves that land restoration is possible even in the most challenging environments".

The target area has been reported with two values. The Ministry's 2026 page and Gulf News (2024) give 40 million hectares; Asharq Al-Awsat (2024) gives 74 million hectares of degraded land and Climate Fact Checks (2026) gives 74.8 million hectares. Asharq Al-Awsat reported, citing unnamed sources, that the Initiative planned to integrate existing public, private and nonprofit environmental projects and that all sectors had been asked to report past tree-planting activity to the national afforestation programme.

No independent measurement of the number of trees planted, their survival or their effect was found in the sources reviewed. Climate Fact Checks (13 January 2026) attributes to "a 2022 study", not identified on its page, an estimate that irrigating the planned trees would need about 1.53 billion m3 of treated sewage water, about 4.2 million m3 per day; this was not verified. Climate Scorecard (13 July 2023) reported that critics call the initiative "greenwashing" and the targets "bordering on the impossible", without naming the critics.

  1. 2021Saudi Green Initiative and Middle East Green Initiative announced (March); more than 700 billion riyals of investment expected (reported 5 April)
  2. 2023Roadmap announced at MENA Climate Week (9 October): Phase 1 plants 600 million trees in 2024-2030; 18 million trees reported planted by mid-2023
  3. 202443.9 million trees reported (July); more than 95 million reported (1 November)
  4. 2025Over 151 million trees and 500,000 hectares reported by the Minister (31 July)
  5. 2026Ministry reports over 159 million trees and the first one million hectares restored (27 March)

What was said

Claims, in the words of those who made them.

“to raise vegetation cover, reduce carbon emissions, combat pollution and land degradation”

Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, on the Saudi Green Initiative's aims, as quoted by The National · 5 April 2021 · The National

“Planting 10 billion trees amounts to 1 percent of the global greening target”

Saudi Green Initiative press statement, as reported by Arab News · 9 October 2023 · Arab News

“This success embodies a unified national effort”

“This achievement proves that land restoration is possible even in the most challenging environments”

“the 100-115 million trees this season”

Osama Faqiha, Undersecretary of the Ministry of Environment, Water and Agriculture, on the planting goal for the season · 1 November 2024 · Gulf News

Where accounts differ

Each party's account, side by side, with its source. The record does not settle these points; it shows them.

The size of the area the 10 billion trees are to rehabilitate
Government and regulators
Ministry of Environment, Water and Agriculture (2026)

10 billion trees, equivalent to rehabilitating 40 million hectares.

Ministry of Environment, Water and Agriculture (Saudi Arabia)
Press and investigations
Asharq Al-Awsat, citing unnamed sources (July 2024)

Target of 10 billion trees with 74 million hectares of degraded land rehabilitated.

York University blog carrying Asharq Al-Awsat
Press and investigations
Climate Fact Checks (2026)

Eventually 10 billion trees on about 74.8 million hectares.

Climate Fact Checks
How much has been planted and restored so far
Government and regulators
Environment, Water and Agriculture Minister Abdulrahman Al-Fadley (July 2025)

Over 151 million trees planted and 500,000 hectares rehabilitated.

Arab News
Government and regulators
Ministry of Environment, Water and Agriculture (March 2026)

Over 159 million trees planted; the first one million hectares restored; 250,000 hectares by 2024.

Ministry of Environment, Water and Agriculture (Saudi Arabia)
Press and investigations
Gulf News (November 2024)

More than 95 million trees and more than 111,000 hectares of degraded land rehabilitated over three years.

Gulf News

How it looked

What was shown, beside what was recorded.

Shown

  • Over 159 million trees planted and the first one million hectares of degraded land restored; 10 billion trees described as equivalent to rehabilitating 40 million hectares.
    Ministry of Environment, Water and Agriculture, page dated 27 March 2026 · Ministry of Environment, Water and Agriculture (Saudi Arabia)
  • Over 151 million trees planted and 500,000 hectares rehabilitated; protected terrestrial areas up from 4.5% to 18.1% of the territory.
    Minister Abdulrahman Al-Fadley, as reported by Arab News (31 July 2025) · Arab News
  • Investment of more than 700 billion riyals ($186.63 billion) expected to be attracted by the Initiative.
    Saudi Green Initiative announcement, as reported by The National (5 April 2021) · The National

Recorded

  • Reported tree counts differ by date: 18 million (2023), 43.9 million (July 2024), more than 95 million (November 2024), over 151 million (July 2025), over 159 million (March 2026); reported hectares: 60,000, 94,000, 111,000, 500,000 and one million.
  • Target area reported as 40 million hectares (Ministry, 2026) and as 74 to 74.8 million hectares (Asharq Al-Awsat, 2024; Climate Fact Checks, 2026).
  • No survival rate, satellite count or audit of trees planted appears in the sources reviewed.

In nature's name

What was promised in nature's name, the money that moved, and what was measured.

Promised

  • “to raise vegetation cover, reduce carbon emissions, combat pollution and land degradation” — Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, on the Saudi Green Initiative's aims, as quoted by The National (5 April 2021) The National
  • “Planting 10 billion trees amounts to 1 percent of the global greening target” — Saudi Green Initiative press statement, as reported by Arab News (9 October 2023) Arab News

Money moved in nature's name

WhatKindAmountPeriod
Investment the Saudi Green Initiative would attract
Saudi Green Initiative
The National
Pledged700bn SARannounced 2021
Two climate initiatives, with Saudi Arabia contributing 15 per cent
Government of Saudi Arabia
The National
Pledged39bn SARannounced 2021

What was measured

Not measured

No independent measurement of trees planted, survival or ecological benefit appears in the sources reviewed. The planting and restoration figures are those of the Ministry of Environment, Water and Agriculture and its Minister; a United Nations official's quoted praise on the Ministry's page is not a measurement.

Trees planted, Ministry figure, March 2026
over 159 million
Against a 10 billion target; government figure Ministry of Environment, Water and Agriculture (Saudi Arabia)
Land restored, Ministry figure, March 2026
first one million hectares

Operation Ongoing · Phase 1 runs to 2030 and Phase 2 begins after 2030 under the October 2023 roadmap. Arab News

Who gained

Money that reached nature, beside money that stayed elsewhere.

Reached nature or the ground

Not published
No figure published.

Gained elsewhere

Not totalled
Currency: SAR · Window: 2021-2030. All figures cover the same period. * Estimate built from cited figures.

Responses on record

  • Government of Saudi Arabia (27 March 2026): The Ministry of Environment, Water and Agriculture reported over 159 million trees planted and the first one million hectares restored, and the Minister said the success embodies a unified national effort. · Ministry of Environment, Water and Agriculture (Saudi Arabia)
  • Government of Saudi Arabia (31 July 2025): The Minister reported over 151 million trees planted and 500,000 hectares rehabilitated. · Arab News
  • Government of Saudi Arabia: No response to the water-demand estimate or to the criticism reported by Climate Scorecard appears in the sources reviewed.

In court and with insurers

Every proceeding and every insurer decision on record.

Lawsuits and rulings

No court case on record. No court has ruled on this case.

Insurers

No insurer decision on record.

What nature saw

Outcomes measured on the ground, and nature's note.

Nature's report opens this page. Below: further outcomes measured on the ground.

Trees planted, reported by the Ministry, March 2026
over 159 million
Government figure against a 10 billion target; no independent count in the sources
Land restored, reported by the Ministry, March 2026
first one million hectares
Government figure; restored land reported at 250,000 hectares by 2024 on the same page
Protected terrestrial areas, 2025
4.5% to 18.1% of the territory
Minister Al-Fadley, Arab News (31 July 2025)

What we don't know

Undisclosed, unproven, untried: recorded as data.

Nature

  • Not measured Harm to nature: No independent ecological evaluation is on record.
  • Disputed The size of the area the 10 billion trees are to rehabilitate
  • Disputed How much has been planted and restored so far

Record

  • None on record None on record: a survival rate for the trees planted; the sources reviewed give planting counts only.
  • None on record None on record: an independent count, satellite measurement or audit of trees planted or land restored; the figures are the government's.
  • Unclear Unclear: the target area. The Ministry's 2026 page gives 40 million hectares; Asharq Al-Awsat (2024) gives 74 million and Climate Fact Checks (2026) 74.8 million; the sources do not reconcile the figures.
  • Disputed Unclear: hectares rehabilitated. Figures of 94,000 (July 2024), more than 111,000 over three years (November 2024), 250,000 by 2024 (Ministry, 2026) and 500,000 (July 2025) cover different dates and bases.
  • None on record None on record: the amount spent on tree planting; the sources reviewed give an investment expectation for the whole Initiative (more than 700 billion riyals) and no planting budget.
  • Insufficient Unconfirmed: an estimate of 1.53 billion m3 of treated sewage water, about 4.2 million m3 per day, needed to irrigate the planned trees, attributed by Climate Fact Checks to a 2022 study that the page does not identify.
  • Insufficient Unconfirmed: Asharq Al-Awsat reported, citing unnamed sources, that existing projects would be integrated into the Initiative and past tree-planting activity reported to the national afforestation programme.

Did the harm stop?

Who paid?

The Government of Saudi Arabia; the Initiative is reported to be expected to attract more than 700 billion riyals ($186.63 billion) of investment across its programmes (The National, 2021). The share spent on tree planting is not on record.

Sources

Voices on record: — Company or project✓ Government and regulators— Courts✓ Press and investigations✓ Communities and civil society— Researchers

Government and regulators

  1. Saudi Arabia restores first million hectares of degraded land and plants over 159 million trees (news page)
    Ministry of Environment, Water and Agriculture (Saudi Arabia) · 2026-03-27

Connected cases

Related matters, and cases linked to this one through the same organisations, with the role each played in both.

Science and environment

Hectare (ha)
A unit of area equal to 10,000 square metres, about 2.5 acres. 100 hectares make one square kilometre.
Wetland
Land that is saturated or covered with water for long periods, such as marshes, swamps and peat bogs.