OPEC members' declared oil reserves jumped in the late 1980s
Short record: the main facts, with sources. A full case file has not been prepared.
- The record does not name which of my species, waters, soils or forests were harmed.
Kuwait, Abu Dhabi, Iraq and Saudi Arabia raised declared oil reserves sharply between 1985 and 1990, when OPEC quotas took reserves into account and no major discovery was made. The sources reviewed do not link these figures to any measured environmental effect.
- OPEC member governments — Production quotas took declared reserves into account, so higher declarations counted toward quotas
What happened
According to GEO ExPro, between 1985 and 1990 Kuwait, Abu Dhabi, Iraq and Saudi Arabia raised declared reserves by between 40 percent and three times, while prices were falling and no major new discovery was made.
GEO ExPro reported that Kuwait's reserves rose from 64 to 66 billion barrels to 90 billion in 1985, Abu Dhabi's from 30 billion to more than 90 billion in 1988, and Saudi Arabia's from 170 billion to 258 billion in 1989 and 1990.
In leaked US diplomatic cables from November 2007, a former Aramco executive said Saudi reserves could be overstated by up to 300 billion barrels.
In court and with insurers
Lawsuits and rulings
Insurers
What we don't know
Nature
- Not measured Harm to nature: The record holds no measurement of harm to nature.
Record
- Insufficient Reported but not verified: OPEC's total declared reserves rose from 425 billion to 763 billion barrels between 1980 and 1990.
- None on record A counter view holds that some of the increases reflected data published for the first time; the sources reviewed do not settle this.
- None on record The leaked-cable claim about Saudi reserves is not checked against field data in the sources reviewed.
Did the harm stop?
Not stated in the sources reviewed.
Who paid?
Not stated in the sources reviewed.
Sources
Press and investigations
- Do OPEC reserves figures matter?GEO ExPro · 2007-11-06
Connected cases
- Hill & Knowlton and Edelman: PR for fossil fuel clients and climate summits Egypt · 2005–2025
- Saudi Aramco (Company) — here: Former executive's 2007 remarks on Saudi reserves, reported in leaked cables; there: agency client
- Hill & Knowlton, the Frank Statement and the TIRC United States · 1953–2022
- Saudi Aramco (Company) — here: Former executive's 2007 remarks on Saudi reserves, reported in leaked cables; there: Client at the time of COP27
- Saudi regional voluntary carbon market auction Saudi Arabia · 2023
- Saudi Aramco (Company) — here: Former executive's 2007 remarks on Saudi reserves, reported in leaked cables; there: Largest buyer