Who gains from saving nature
Ledger 1 : 33 — For each dollar financing nature-based solutions in 2023, about $33 financed activities harmful to nature. (UNEP)
Cases / Tree planting · Ethiopia · 2019–2025

Ethiopia: 353 million seedlings in a day

Nature's voice · report
No measurement of the harm done to me here is on record.
Did nature suffer? Not measured.
Not on record
  • The record does not name which of my species, waters, soils or forests were harmed.
What the record lacks: 5 none on record · 2 self-reported only · 1 not measured · 1 unclear See the gaps

Ethiopia announced that 353,633,660 seedlings were planted in 12 hours in July 2019. The government later put survival above 80%; a study in one district found 39.8%.

83.4% vs 39.8%Survival: government figure vs one district study
Government's own figure; the 39.8% comes from a single district, not a national count.
What?
On 29 July 2019 the government of Ethiopia announced that 353,633,660 seedlings had been planted in 12 hours, a figure from its own count. The government later put survival above 80%; a study in one district found 39.8%. Al Jazeera
Where?
Ethiopia, nationwide; the survival study covered Gubalafto district.
When?
Planting day on 29 July 2019; the Prime Minister said in 2020 that 84% of seedlings had survived; UNIAN reported the Gubalafto district study in 2025. Al Jazeera
Who?
Gained
None on record
Lost
None on record
Harmed
None on record
Why?
The government put survival at 84% (Prime Minister, 2020) and 83.4%, its own figures with no independent audit on record. A study in Gubalafto district found a survival rate of 39.8%. UNIAN
How?
The campaign was reported by the number of seedlings planted, counted by the government itself. No national figure for trees still standing, measured by a party other than the government, is on record. Al Jazeera
In proportion The district study's survival rate (39.8%) was less than half the government's figure (83.4%). UNIAN
5 of 6 questions answered from the record · open: who

What happened

The record, in order.

On 29 July 2019 the government of Ethiopia announced that 353,633,660 seedlings had been planted in 12 hours. The figure came from the government's own count.

In 2020 the Prime Minister said that 84% of the seedlings had survived. The government's survival figure has also been reported as 83.4%. No independent audit of the planting count or of survival is on record.

A study in Gubalafto district found a survival rate of 39.8%, as reported by UNIAN (in Russian). The study covers one district, not the whole country.

The campaign was reported by its number of seedlings planted. No national figure for trees still standing, measured by a party other than the government, is on record.

  1. 2019Government announces 353,633,660 seedlings planted in 12 hours (29 Jul)
  2. 2020Prime Minister says 84% of seedlings survived
  3. 2025UNIAN reports district study in Gubalafto: 39.8% survival

How it looked

What was shown, beside what was recorded.

Shown

  • 353 million seedlings planted in 12 hours
  • 84% of seedlings alive (Prime Minister, 2020)

Recorded

  • Planting count: the government's own figure
  • Government survival figure 83.4%; one district study 39.8%
  • No independent national survival audit on record

Who gained

Money that reached nature, beside money that stayed elsewhere.

Reached nature or the ground

Not published
Cost of the campaign—
Not in the source record.

Gained elsewhere

Not totalled
Currency: USD · Window: —. All figures cover the same period. * Estimate built from cited figures.

In court and with insurers

Every proceeding and every insurer decision on record.

Lawsuits and rulings

No court case on record. No court has ruled on this case.

Insurers

No insurer decision on record.

What nature saw

Outcomes measured on the ground, and nature's note.

Nature's report opens this page. Below: further outcomes measured on the ground.

Seedlings planted (government count)
353.6m
12 hours, 29 July 2019
Survival, government
83.4–84%
No independent audit
Survival, Gubalafto district study
39.8%
One district only

What we don't know

Undisclosed, unproven, untried: recorded as data.

Nature

  • Not measured Harm to nature: No independent ecological evaluation is on record.

Money

Court

Figures

  • Self-reported only Trees planted: Government's own figure; no independent count.
  • Self-reported only Survival rate: Stated by the Prime Minister; government's own figure; no independent audit.

Record

  • Unclear Whether the 353.6 million planting count was independently checked: no audit on record.
  • None on record An independently measured national survival rate: none on record.
  • None on record The cost of the campaign and who supplied the seedlings.
  • None on record A later report headline refers to 805 million seedlings planted in twelve hours with 26 million participants; this figure has not been verified.

Did the harm stop?

Not applicable.

Who paid?

Not quantified.

Sources

Voices on record: — Company or project— Government and regulators— Courts✓ Press and investigations— Communities and civil society— Researchers

Connected cases

Related matters, and cases linked to this one through the same organisations, with the role each played in both.