Who gains from saving nature
Ledger 1 : 33 — For each dollar financing nature-based solutions in 2023, about $33 financed activities harmful to nature. (UNEP)
Cases / Wind, hydro and other renewables · Brazil · 2015–2025

Belo Monte hydrograph and Volta Grande flow reduction

Nature's voice · report
Between 2015 and 2019, more than 85,000 of my fish, about 30 tonnes, died at the turbine intakes, according to federal prosecutors.
Did nature suffer? Yes. Harm is on record. Disputed
Recorded
  • As my flow fell in the Volta Grande, first the fruit-eating fish and then the carnivorous fish disappeared. Mongabay
  • In January 2023 about 75% of my water went to the power plant, according to the federal prosecutors' office. Ministério Público Federal (MPF), Pará
  • In the reach where my flow was reduced, fish died and forest dried, the sources report.
  • About 30 tonnes of my fish died.
    Weight of the fish counted above, 2015–2019.
People
  • 16,000 people were displaced or listed for relocation. not independently verified
    Government figure for people displaced; critics give 20,000 to 50,000. Reported but not independently verified.
  • At least (critics' range 20,000 to 50,000) 20,000 people were displaced or listed for relocation. not independently verified
    Critics' figure for people displaced. Reported but not independently verified.
What the record lacks: 5 insufficient · 2 disputed See the gaps
Accounts of the harm differ
How large were the dam's effects on the river and its fish?
  • Government and regulators Federal prosecutors (MPF): More than 85,000 fish, about 30 tonnes, died at the turbine intakes in 2015–2019; the hydrograph failed; about 75% of the water went to the power plant in January 2023. Ministério Público Federal (MPF), Pará
  • Press and investigations Mongabay: Fishers confirmed scientists' warning about the river; fruit-eating and then carnivorous fish disappeared from the Volta Grande. Mongabay
  • Company or project Norte Energia: The effects were smaller than predicted (paraphrase as reported by Mongabay). Mongabay
Does the Belo Monte "consensus hydrograph" work?
  • Government and regulators Federal prosecutors (MPF): The hydrograph failed. Ministério Público Federal (MPF), Pará
  • Courts Brazilian court (not identified in the sources): Ordered the flow plan reorganised in December 2025 after the consensus hydrograph was documented as unworkable. Ministério Público Federal (MPF), Pará
  • Company or project Norte Energia: Appealed the order (the sources say "the company" appealed).

Federal prosecutors in Brazil reported that the flow schedule for the Volta Grande reach of the Xingu River below the Belo Monte dam had failed, and a court ordered it revised in December 2025. Reports cite fish deaths at the turbine intakes and the loss of fish species in the reduced-flow reach.

More than 85,000Fish reported killed at the turbine intakes, 2015–2019
About 30 tonnes, according to federal prosecutors as reported by Mongabay (8 June 2023).

Status As of December 2025: a court ordered the Belo Monte flow plan reorganised; the company appealed; no ruling on the appeal found.

What?
Federal prosecutors reported that the Belo Monte flow schedule (hydrograph) failed, with about 75% of the water going to the power plant in January 2023 and more than 85,000 fish dying at the turbine intakes in 2015–2019. A court ordered the flow plan reorganised in December 2025; the company appealed. Ministério Público Federal (MPF), Pará
Where?
The Xingu River, Brazil, at the Belo Monte dam and the Volta Grande reach below it. Mongabay
When?
Fish deaths 2015–2019; about 75% of water to the power plant in January 2023; Mongabay report 8 June 2023; court order December 2025. Ministério Público Federal (MPF), Pará
Who?
Gained
Lost
  • Fishers of the Volta Grande — Fish species disappeared from the reduced-flow reach; a fisher said they were spending more on working than they earned; about 6,000 fishers are listed. Mongabay
  • Riverside communities — The settlement area set aside for them was reduced from 32,000 hectares to 9,000 hectares. Mongabay
Harmed
  • Fish of the Xingu River — More than 85,000 fish, about 30 tonnes, died at the turbine intakes in 2015–2019; fruit-eating and then carnivorous fish disappeared from the Volta Grande. Mongabay
Why?
The sources do not set out the operator's reasons for the flow schedule; Norte Energia said the effects were smaller than predicted. Mongabay
How?
Water was diverted to the power plant (about 75% in January 2023), reducing flow in the Volta Grande; fish died at the turbine intakes. Ministério Público Federal (MPF), Pará
6 of 6 questions answered from the record

What happened

The record, in order.

Belo Monte is a hydroelectric dam on the Xingu River in Brazil, operated by Norte Energia. The sources describe a reduction of flow in the river's Volta Grande section and a flow schedule for it, known as a hydrograph. A "consensus hydrograph" for Belo Monte was documented in court as unworkable.

According to the federal prosecutors' office (MPF), the Belo Monte hydrograph failed, and about 75% of the water went to the power plant in January 2023. A court ordered the flow plan to be reorganised in December 2025. The sources say the company appealed.

According to federal prosecutors, as reported by Mongabay, more than 85,000 fish, about 30 tonnes, died at the turbine intakes between 2015 and 2019. As flow in the Volta Grande fell, fruit-eating fish disappeared first and then carnivorous fish. A fisher identified as "Mambira" said that fishers were spending more on working than they earned. In the reduced-flow reach the sources also report fish deaths and drying of forest.

Norte Energia said the effects were smaller than predicted. The settlement area set aside for riverside communities was reduced from 32,000 hectares to 9,000 hectares. Mongabay's summary lists about 6,000 fishers alongside the fish-kill figure.

  1. 2015Start of the 2015–2019 period in which, per federal prosecutors, more than 85,000 fish died at the turbine intakes
  2. 2023January: about 75% of the water goes to the power plant (MPF); 8 June: Mongabay reports fishers' accounts
  3. 2025November–December: MPF presents data on the hydrograph's failure; a court orders the flow plan reorganised; the company appeals

What was said

Claims, in the words of those who made them.

Where accounts differ

Each party's account, side by side, with its source. The record does not settle these points; it shows them.

How large were the dam's effects on the river and its fish?
Government and regulators
Federal prosecutors (MPF)

More than 85,000 fish, about 30 tonnes, died at the turbine intakes in 2015–2019; the hydrograph failed; about 75% of the water went to the power plant in January 2023.

Ministério Público Federal (MPF), Pará
Press and investigations
Mongabay

Fishers confirmed scientists' warning about the river; fruit-eating and then carnivorous fish disappeared from the Volta Grande.

Mongabay
Company or project
Norte Energia

The effects were smaller than predicted (paraphrase as reported by Mongabay).

Mongabay
Does the Belo Monte "consensus hydrograph" work?
Government and regulators
Federal prosecutors (MPF)

The hydrograph failed.

Ministério Público Federal (MPF), Pará
Courts
Brazilian court (not identified in the sources)

Ordered the flow plan reorganised in December 2025 after the consensus hydrograph was documented as unworkable.

Ministério Público Federal (MPF), Pará
Company or project
Norte Energia

Appealed the order (the sources say "the company" appealed).

How it looked

What was shown, beside what was recorded.

Shown

  • The effects of the dam were smaller than predicted.
    Norte Energia, as reported by Mongabay (paraphrase; the English wording was not seen) · Mongabay

Recorded

  • More than 85,000 fish, about 30 tonnes, died at the turbine intakes between 2015 and 2019, according to federal prosecutors.
  • In the Volta Grande, as flow fell, fruit-eating fish disappeared first and then carnivorous fish.
  • About 75% of the water went to the power plant in January 2023; a court ordered the flow plan reorganised in December 2025.
  • The settlement area for riverside communities was reduced from 32,000 hectares to 9,000 hectares.

Who gained

Money that reached nature, beside money that stayed elsewhere.

Reached nature or the ground

Not published
No figure published.

Gained elsewhere

Not totalled
Currency: · Window: . All figures cover the same period. * Estimate built from cited figures.

Responses on record

  • Norte Energia (June 2023): Said the effects were smaller than predicted (paraphrase as reported by Mongabay). · Mongabay
  • Norte Energia (2025): Appealed the court order to revise the hydrograph (the sources say "the company" appealed).
  • Federal Public Prosecutor's Office (MPF) (November–December 2025): Reported that the Belo Monte hydrograph failed and that about 75% of the water went to the power plant in January 2023. · Ministério Público Federal (MPF), Pará

In court and with insurers

Every proceeding and every insurer decision on record.

Lawsuits and rulings

  1. 2025-12Ongoing
    Order to revise the Belo Monte hydrograph
    Brazilian court (not identified in the sources) · Civil · Not stated; the Federal Public Prosecutor's Office (MPF) published the data on the hydrograph's failure → Norte Energia (operator; the sources say "the company" appealed)

    The court ordered the flow plan to be reorganised in December 2025; the company appealed. The "consensus hydrograph" was documented in court as unworkable. Ministério Público Federal (MPF), Pará

Insurers

No insurer decision on record.

What nature saw

Outcomes measured on the ground, and nature's note.

Nature's report opens this page. Below: further outcomes measured on the ground.

Fish killed at turbine intakes
More than 85,000
About 30 tonnes, 2015–2019, according to federal prosecutors (via Mongabay)
Share of the water sent to the power plant
About 75%
January 2023, according to the federal prosecutors' office
Court order
Hydrograph revision
December 2025; the company appealed

What we don't know

Undisclosed, unproven, untried: recorded as data.

Nature

  • Disputed How large were the dam's effects on the river and its fish?
  • Disputed Does the Belo Monte "consensus hydrograph" work?

Figures

  • Insufficient People displaced: Government figure for people displaced; critics give 20,000 to 50,000. Reported but not independently verified.
  • Insufficient People displaced: Critics' figure for people displaced. Reported but not independently verified.

Record

  • Insufficient Reported but not independently verified: the number of people displaced is given as 16,000 by the government and as 20,000 to 50,000 by critics (America Magazine, 15 July 2019).
  • Insufficient Reported but not independently verified: construction contractors in the Belo Monte tender were reported to have made cartel settlements, and confessions were reported that 1% of the contract value went to ruling parties (IHU Unisinos, 18 November 2016).
  • Insufficient Reported but not independently verified: IBAMA's technical staff reportedly recommended in November 2010 against a partial installation licence before the conditions of the preliminary licence were met, yet clearing of 238 hectares was permitted; Minister Izabella Teixeira said IBAMA had not issued a negative opinion (Amazon Watch, 16 November 2010).

Did the harm stop?

The sources do not record that the flow reduction or the fish losses have stopped; a court ordered the flow plan revised in December 2025 and the company appealed.

Who paid?

Reports place the losses on fishers in the Volta Grande and on riverside communities whose settlement area was reduced; the operator said the effects were smaller than predicted.

Sources

Voices on record: — Company or project✓ Government and regulators— Courts✓ Press and investigations✓ Communities and civil society— Researchers

Communities and civil society

Connected cases

Related matters, and cases linked to this one through the same organisations, with the role each played in both.

Science and environment

Hectare (ha)
A unit of area equal to 10,000 square metres, about 2.5 acres. 100 hectares make one square kilometre.