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Ledger 1 : 33 — For each dollar financing nature-based solutions in 2023, about $33 financed activities harmful to nature. (UNEP)
Cases / Wind, hydro and other renewables · United States · 2005

US fuel mandate required corn ethanol; reported land and carbon effects unverified

Short record: the main facts, with sources. A full case file has not been prepared.

Nature's voice · report
No measurement of the harm done to me here is on record.
Did nature suffer? Not measured.
Not on record
  • The record does not name which of my species, waters, soils or forests were harmed.
What the record lacks: 4 insufficient · 2 not measured See the gaps

The US Renewable Fuel Standard, set in 2005 and 2007, required corn ethanol to be added to gasoline. The land, fertiliser and carbon effects reported from a 2022 study are not verified in the sources reviewed.

What?
A 2005 and 2007 US fuel standard required corn ethanol in gasoline; the land, fertiliser and carbon effects reported for it are not verified in the sources reviewed.
Where?
United States, national fuel market
When?
Standard set in 2005 and 2007; study reported in February 2022 ScienceDaily
Who?
Gained
  • US corn producers — named in the sources as beneficiaries of the corn demand created by the mandate
  • Biofuel producers and refiners — named in the sources as beneficiaries of biofuel demand
Lost
None on record
Harmed
None on record
Why?
Not stated in the sources reviewed.
How?
A federal blending requirement created demand for corn-based ethanol
6 of 6 questions answered from the record

What happened

The record, in order.

The US Renewable Fuel Standard, set in 2005 and 2007, required corn ethanol to be added to gasoline.

ScienceDaily reported a 2022 study in PNAS by Lark and colleagues on the mandate's effects on corn prices, cropland and carbon intensity.

The study's figures are not verified in the sources reviewed.

    In court and with insurers

    Every proceeding and every insurer decision on record.

    Lawsuits and rulings

    No court case on record. No court has ruled on this case.

    Insurers

    No insurer decision on record.

    What we don't know

    Undisclosed, unproven, untried: recorded as data.

    Nature

    • Not measured Harm to nature: The record holds no measurement of harm to nature.

    Record

    • Insufficient Reported but not verified: the mandate raised corn prices by about 30 per cent, expanded cropland by 2.1 million hectares from 2008 to 2016 and raised fertiliser use by 3 to 8 per cent a year (Lark and colleagues, 2022).
    • Insufficient Reported but not verified: ethanol from the mandate may have at least 24 per cent higher carbon intensity than gasoline (Lark and colleagues, 2022).
    • Insufficient Reported but not verified: the EPA assumed in 2010 that corn ethanol would have 20 to 21 per cent lower carbon intensity than gasoline.
    • Insufficient Reported but not verified: the US Agriculture Department and the ethanol industry objected to the study's soil-carbon assumptions.
    • Not measured Indirect harms named in the sources, including food-price increases and downstream nitrate pollution, are not measured in the sources reviewed.

    Did the harm stop?

    Not stated in the sources reviewed.

    Who paid?

    Not stated in the sources reviewed.

    Sources

    Voices on record: — Company or project— Government and regulators— Courts✓ Press and investigations— Communities and civil society— Researchers

    Press and investigations

    Science and environment

    Hectare (ha)
    A unit of area equal to 10,000 square metres, about 2.5 acres. 100 hectares make one square kilometre.

    Institutions

    EPA
    The US Environmental Protection Agency.