Who gains from saving nature
Ledger 1 : 33 — For each dollar financing nature-based solutions in 2023, about $33 financed activities harmful to nature. (UNEP)
Cases / Carbon credits · Kenya · 2010–2023

Mikoko Pamoja mangrove project

Nature's voice · report
No measurement of the harm done to me here is on record.
Did nature suffer? Not measured.
Not on record
  • The record does not name which of my species, waters, soils or forests were harmed.
What the record lacks: 4 none on record · 1 not measured · 1 disputed See the gaps

A community mangrove carbon project in Gazi Bay, Kenya, certified by Plan Vivo, sets aside 117 hectares of mangrove and sells carbon credits. Reported revenue is about $15,000 a year, and about $117,000 has gone to community projects.

about $117,000Reported to community projects, to September 2022
Reported figure (Science News, 14 September 2022). A separate record gives $210,000 to the community for 2013–2023.

Status As of October 2026: no independent audit and no court case appear in the sources reviewed; reported community payments of $117,000 (to September 2022) and $210,000 (2013–2023) have not been reconciled.

What?
A community-run mangrove carbon project that sells Plan Vivo credits and puts part of the revenue into wages and community projects. Plan Vivo
Where?
Gazi Bay (Gazi/Makongeni), Kenya; 117 ha within the 615 ha Gazi forest.
When?
From 2010 or 2013, depending on the record; credits issued in 2014–2018 and since.
Who?
Gained
  • Gazi/Makongeni community — More than 50% of revenue to community projects such as water and schoolbooks; about $117,000 in total reported to September 2022. Science News
  • Project workers — About 21% of revenue to wages, an estimated $3,150 a year.
Lost
None on record
Harmed
None on record
Why?
To protect and plant mangrove and fund community projects through carbon credit sales. Plan Vivo
How?
Plan Vivo Certificates issued for about 3,000 t CO2 a year; revenue about $15,000 a year. Plan Vivo
6 of 6 questions answered from the record

What happened

The record, in order.

Mikoko Pamoja is a community mangrove project at Gazi/Makongeni, Gazi Bay, Kenya, certified under the Plan Vivo standard. One record gives its start as 2010; another gives 2013 as the year protection began. It sets aside 117 hectares for carbon inside the 615-hectare Gazi forest, sequesters about 3,000 tonnes of CO2 a year and covers 1,081 households.

Plan Vivo’s project page records 22,169 Plan Vivo Certificates issued to date. According to the research record, 9,880 credits were issued in 2014–2018 at a price above $7. Revenue is about $15,000 a year, and about $117,000 in total has gone to community projects, according to Science News on 14 September 2022. A separate record covering 2013–2023 gives 18,500 tonnes of CO2 and $210,000 to the community, with the money going to water, schools and health. A UN projection of about $130,000 a year does not match the reported figures.

The research record gives the split of revenue as about 21% to wages, more than 50% to community projects such as water and schoolbooks, and the rest to project costs. On revenue of about $15,000 a year that would be about $3,150 a year to wages and more than $7,500 a year to community projects; these are estimates built from the percentages. The record lists 56,000 seedlings planted and puts Kenya’s national mangrove loss rate at about 0.65% a year.

A 2025 analysis in npj Ocean Sustainability (Farahmand, Hilmi and Duarte) gives market context: by 15 March 2025, 6,961,950 blue carbon credits had been issued and 3,651,383 (about 48%) retired, across 94 registered projects of which 19 had issued credits. Plan Vivo prices were about $6 in 2014 and about $19 in 2023. Of 1,109,210 credits that could be traced, more than 97% went to buyers in high-income countries.

  1. 2010Project start, according to one record (Plan Vivo; Gazi/Makongeni, Kenya)
  2. 2013Another record gives 2013 as the year protection began (record window 2013–2023)
  3. 2014Credit issuance 2014–2018: 9,880 credits at above $7; Plan Vivo prices about $6 in 2014 (market-wide)
  4. 2022Science News (14 September) reports revenue of about $15,000 a year and about $117,000 to community projects
  5. 2023End of the 2013–2023 record: 18,500 t CO2 and $210,000 to the community; Plan Vivo prices about $19 (market-wide)
  6. 2025March: 6,961,950 blue carbon credits issued worldwide, 48% retired (npj Ocean Sustainability)

What was said

Claims, in the words of those who made them.

Where accounts differ

Each party's account, side by side, with its source. The record does not settle these points; it shows them.

How much money has the project generated for the community?
Press and investigations
Science News (14 September 2022)

Revenue about $15,000 a year; about $117,000 in total to community projects.

Science News
Researchers
Research record, 2013–2023

$210,000 to the community, with the money going to water, schools and health.

International bodies
UN projection, as cited in the sources reviewed

About $130,000 a year, which does not match the reported figures.

How it looked

What was shown, beside what was recorded.

Shown

  • Projected revenue of about $130,000 a year
    A UN projection cited in the sources reviewed (publisher not identified)

Recorded

  • 117 ha set aside for carbon inside the 615 ha Gazi forest; about 3,000 t CO2 sequestered a year; 1,081 households covered
  • 22,169 Plan Vivo Certificates issued to date
  • 9,880 credits issued in 2014–2018 at a price above $7
  • Revenue about $15,000 a year; about $117,000 in total to community projects
  • Separate record, 2013–2023: 18,500 t CO2; $210,000 to the community, for water, schools and health
  • About 21% of revenue to wages, more than 50% to community projects such as water and schoolbooks, the rest to project costs
  • 56,000 seedlings planted; Kenya’s national mangrove loss rate about 0.65% a year

Who gained

Money that reached nature, beside money that stayed elsewhere.

Reached nature or the ground

≈ $0.12m
Reported figure; not reconciled with the $210,000 in the separate record.
Total reported to community projects (Science News, September 2022)≈ $0.12m
A separate record gives $210,000 to the community for 2013–2023.

Gained elsewhere

Not totalled
Reached the ground
≈ $0.12m
Currency: USD · Window: to September 2022. All figures cover the same period. * Estimate built from cited figures.

In court and with insurers

Every proceeding and every insurer decision on record.

Lawsuits and rulings

No court case on record. No court has ruled on this case.

Insurers

No insurer decision on record.

What nature saw

Outcomes measured on the ground, and nature's note.

Nature's report opens this page. Below: further outcomes measured on the ground.

Mangrove set aside for carbon
117 ha
Inside the 615 ha Gazi forest
Seedlings planted
56,000
As listed in the sources reviewed
Kenya’s national mangrove loss rate
about 0.65% a year
National figure, for comparison

What we don't know

Undisclosed, unproven, untried: recorded as data.

Nature

  • Not measured Harm to nature: The record holds no measurement of harm to nature.

Accounts

  • Disputed How much money has the project generated for the community?

Record

  • None on record Start date: one record gives 2010, another gives 2013 as the year protection began.
  • None on record Money to the community: about $117,000 to September 2022 in one report, $210,000 for 2013–2023 in another.
  • None on record A UN projection of about $130,000 a year does not match the reported figures of about $15,000 a year.
  • None on record The research record gives no response from the project or Plan Vivo to any of these discrepancies.

Did the harm stop?

The record gives no loss rate for the project’s 117 hectares; it gives a national mangrove loss rate of about 0.65% a year.

Who paid?

Buyers of the credits paid about $15,000 a year in revenue; the sources do not name the buyers.

Sources

Voices on record: — Company or project— Government and regulators— Courts✓ Press and investigations— Communities and civil society✓ Researchers✓ Standard-setters and registries

Press and investigations

  1. Science News report on Mikoko Pamoja
    Science News · 2022-09-14

Researchers

Standard-setters and registries

Science and environment

Hectare (ha)
A unit of area equal to 10,000 square metres, about 2.5 acres. 100 hectares make one square kilometre.

Carbon and conservation finance

Carbon credit
A certificate representing one tonne of carbon dioxide (or equivalent) that a project says it reduced, avoided or removed. Buyers use credits to balance their own emissions in climate claims.
Retired credit
A credit that has been used to make a climate claim and is permanently removed from circulation in the registry.