Who gains from saving nature
Ledger 1 : 33 — For each dollar financing nature-based solutions in 2023, about $33 financed activities harmful to nature. (UNEP)
Cases / Protected area / relocation · Canada · 2020–2026

British Columbia old-growth deferrals and mill closures

Nature's voice · report
No measurement of the harm done to me here is on record.
Did nature suffer? Not measured. Disputed
What the record lacks: 3 none on record · 6 insufficient · 1 not measured · 4 disputed See the gaps
Accounts of the harm differ
Did the deferrals stop logging of the old forest they were meant to protect?
  • Government and regulators Province of British Columbia: Total harvest is down 40% since 2021 and harvest in at-risk old forest is down 50%.
  • Communities and civil society Stand.earth: At least 31,800 ha of areas recommended for deferral in 2021 were logged by November 2023.
  • Press and investigations The Narwhal (reporting an analysis): Forest inside recommended deferral zones was four times more likely to be logged than forest outside; about 4% of remaining old forest burned in the previous four years.
  • Communities and civil society Five former old-growth panel members: The process was not working as intended and the government continued to approve logging in forests they identified.

From 2020 British Columbia deferred logging in parts of its remaining old forest. Analyses since have found logging continued in recommended deferral areas, while the forest industry linked mill closures to the deferrals and others pointed to an exhausted timber supply and a shift of industry capital to the United States.

2.6 million ha vs 2.4 million haRecommended old-growth deferral area vs area the province said was deferred (May 2024)
Province described the deferrals as temporary; Stand.earth found at least 31,800 ha of the recommended areas logged by November 2023.

Status As of August 2026: deferrals are temporary; logging inside recommended zones continued; COFI counted 21 sawmill closures since 2023; no ruling or ban found.

What?
British Columbia deferred logging in parts of its remaining old forest from 2020; analyses found logging continued in recommended areas, while mill closures were attributed by different parties to the deferrals, the beetle-damaged timber supply and capital moving to the United States.
Where?
British Columbia, Canada, including Fairy Creek and Central Walbran on Vancouver Island and the interior. CFJC
When?
September 2020 to August 2026.
Who?
Gained
  • Canadian lumber companies with US South mills — Production shifted to the US South; West Fraser's US share rose from 11% to 53% over about two decades. The Globe and Mail
Lost
  • Mill workers and communities — About 180 workers at Polar and about 500 at Plateau and Fort St. John; COFI counted 21 sawmill closures since 2023.
Harmed
  • Old forest — At least 31,800 ha of recommended deferral areas logged by November 2023; about 4% of remaining old forest burned in the previous four years.
Why?
The old-growth review recommended deferring harvest in old forest at high risk; the province described the deferrals as temporary.
How?
Government deferral decisions, tied to First Nations' agreement, not court rulings.
6 of 6 questions answered from the record

What happened

The record, in order.

In September 2020 the British Columbia government published the report “A New Future for Old Forests” by Al Gorley and Garry Merkel. One of its 14 recommendations was to defer logging in old forest at high risk. The first deferrals covered nine areas of about 353,000 hectares. In June 2021 a two-year deferral was announced for Fairy Creek and Central Walbran (about 2,034 hectares); by December 2021 there had been 1,188 arrests at Fairy Creek. In November 2021 deferral was recommended for 2.6 million hectares of “at-risk old forest”. These were government decisions, not court rulings, and implementation was tied to the agreement of First Nations.

When the 2.6 million hectare recommendation was made, the Council of Forest Industries (COFI) said deferrals would close 14 to 20 sawmills and two pulp mills and cost 18,000 jobs; the government estimated up to 4,500 jobs. In May 2024 the government said 2.4 million hectares were “temporarily” deferred.

Stand.earth reported that at least 31,800 hectares of the areas recommended for deferral in 2021 were logged by November 2023. A November 2025 analysis reported by The Narwhal found that forest inside recommended deferral zones was four times more likely to be logged than forest outside them, and that about 4% of the remaining old forest had burned in the previous four years. The government said total harvest had fallen 40% since 2021 and harvest in at-risk old forest had fallen 50%. In March 2026 five former members of the old-growth panel said the process was not working as intended and that the government continued to approve logging in forests they had identified.

Mill closures in the province coincided with the deferrals, but the sources record other causes. Natural Resources Canada reported that the mountain pine beetle outbreak affected more than 18 million hectares and killed 752 million cubic metres, 58% of merchantable pine, by 2017. In May 2024 Canfor said its actual 2023 harvest was 42% below its allowable cut, a gap not seen since the 1960s, and closed its Polar mill (about 180 workers). In September 2024 it announced the closure of the Plateau and Fort St. John mills (about 500 workers). The Globe and Mail reported that West Fraser produced more lumber in the United States than in Canada in 2022 (3.02 billion board feet against 2.64 billion), with the US South's share of its production rising from 11% to 53% over about two decades. COFI said 21 sawmills had closed permanently or indefinitely since 2023 and more than 30 since 2017; the industry linked closures to the deferrals and permitting processes; US duties on Canadian lumber, recorded as 35.16% plus a further 10%, were above 45% in total in October 2025.

  1. 2017By this year the mountain pine beetle had killed 752 million cubic metres, 58% of merchantable pine (Natural Resources Canada).
  2. 2020September: “A New Future for Old Forests” published; first deferrals cover nine areas of about 353,000 ha.
  3. 2021June: two-year deferral for Fairy Creek and Central Walbran (about 2,034 ha); November: deferral recommended for 2.6 million ha of at-risk old forest; COFI and the government give different job estimates.
  4. 2022West Fraser produces more lumber in the United States than in Canada for the first time (3.02 against 2.64 billion board feet).
  5. 2023Stand.earth finds at least 31,800 ha of recommended deferral areas logged by November.
  6. 2024May: government says 2.4 million ha are temporarily deferred; Canfor closes Polar mill and says 2023 harvest was 42% below allowable cut; September: Plateau and Fort St. John closures announced.
  7. 2025October: US duties on Canadian lumber above 45% in total; November: The Narwhal reports logging four times more likely inside recommended deferral zones.
  8. 2026March: five former panel members say the process is not working as intended; August: COFI counts 21 sawmills closed or indefinitely idled since 2023.

What was said

Claims, in the words of those who made them.

Where accounts differ

Each party's account, side by side, with its source. The record does not settle these points; it shows them.

Did the deferrals stop logging of the old forest they were meant to protect?
Government and regulators
Province of British Columbia

Total harvest is down 40% since 2021 and harvest in at-risk old forest is down 50%.

Communities and civil society
Stand.earth

At least 31,800 ha of areas recommended for deferral in 2021 were logged by November 2023.

Press and investigations
The Narwhal (reporting an analysis)

Forest inside recommended deferral zones was four times more likely to be logged than forest outside; about 4% of remaining old forest burned in the previous four years.

Communities and civil society
Five former old-growth panel members

The process was not working as intended and the government continued to approve logging in forests they identified.

What caused British Columbia's mill closures?
Company or project
Forest industry (COFI counts 21 sawmill closures since 2023)

Linked closures to the deferrals and permitting processes.

Company or project
Canfor

Cited beetle damage and fire along with the cumulative effect of policy changes and regulatory complexity.

Government and regulators
Natural Resources Canada

The beetle outbreak killed 58% of merchantable pine by 2017.

Natural Resources Canada
Press and investigations
The Globe and Mail

West Fraser produced more lumber in the United States than in Canada in 2022; the US South's share of its production rose from 11% to 53%.

The Globe and Mail
How many jobs would the deferrals cost?
Company or project
Council of Forest Industries

14 to 20 sawmills and two pulp mills closed; 18,000 jobs lost (November 2021).

Government and regulators
Province of British Columbia

Estimated up to 4,500 jobs lost (November 2021).

How it looked

What was shown, beside what was recorded.

Shown

  • A deferral of 2.4 million hectares of old forest, described as temporary.
    Province of British Columbia, May 2024
  • Total harvest down 40% since 2021 and harvest in at-risk old forest down 50%.
    Province of British Columbia
  • The forests minister said the government was very proud of its record on old growth (paraphrase).
    Forests Minister Ravi Parmar, 2026

Recorded

  • Stand.earth: at least 31,800 ha of areas recommended for deferral in 2021 had been logged by November 2023.
  • The Narwhal (12 November 2025): logging four times more likely inside recommended deferral zones than outside; about 4% of remaining old forest burned in the previous four years.
  • Five former panel members (13 March 2026) said the process had not worked as intended and the government continued to approve logging in forests they identified.
  • Three former provincial government ecologists (Price, Holt, Daust; April 2020) found that of the province's 13.2 million ha of old forest (23% of forest), most was small trees at high elevation or in bog; 2.7% of productive sites that can grow big trees were old, and about 35,000 ha of the largest-tree old forest remained.
  • Garry Merkel said in 2021 that almost nothing from the report had been implemented (paraphrase); the president of the Union of BC Indian Chiefs called the failure a profound betrayal of trust (paraphrase).
  • Natural Resources Canada: the mountain pine beetle outbreak affected more than 18 million ha and killed 752 million m³, 58% of merchantable pine, by 2017.
  • Canfor (10 May 2024): 2023 harvest was 42% below the allowable cut, not seen since the 1960s; the Polar closure affected about 180 workers and about 300 million board feet.
  • Globe and Mail (April 2023): West Fraser produced 3.02 billion board feet in the United States and 2.64 billion in Canada in 2022; the US South's share was 11% about two decades earlier and 53% in 2022.
  • Forisk: British Columbia lumber production fell 55% over the decade to 2025.
  • Fairy Creek and Central Walbran deferral (9 June 2021): about 2,034 ha; 1,188 arrests by December 2021.

Who gained

Money that reached nature, beside money that stayed elsewhere.

Reached nature or the ground

Not published
No figure published.

Gained elsewhere

Not totalled
Currency: CAD · Window: 2020–2026. All figures cover the same period. * Estimate built from cited figures.

Responses on record

  • Province of British Columbia (2024 to 2026): Said total harvest had fallen 40% since 2021 and harvest in at-risk old forest 50%; said 2.4 million ha were temporarily deferred (May 2024).
  • Forests Minister Ravi Parmar (2026): Said in 2026 that he was very proud of the government's record (paraphrase).
  • Council of Forest Industries (COFI) (2021 and 2026): Said deferrals would close 14 to 20 sawmills and two pulp mills and cost 18,000 jobs (November 2021); later counted 21 sawmill closures since 2023 and more than 30 since 2017.
  • Canfor (10 May 2024): Cited beetle damage and fire together with the cumulative effect of policy changes and regulatory complexity (paraphrase) for the Polar closure.

In court and with insurers

Every proceeding and every insurer decision on record.

Lawsuits and rulings

No court case on record. No court has ruled on this case.

Insurers

No insurer decision on record.

What nature saw

Outcomes measured on the ground, and nature's note.

Nature's report opens this page. Below: further outcomes measured on the ground.

Logging inside recommended deferral zones
4 times as likely
Compared with forest outside the zones (analysis reported by The Narwhal, November 2025); government says harvest in at-risk old forest fell 50%
Recommended areas logged
At least 31,800 ha
Stand.earth, to November 2023
Old forest area in the province
About 25 million to 11.1 million ha
Provincial old-growth update, 28 May 2024, as recorded in the sources reviewed (page not linked)

What we don't know

Undisclosed, unproven, untried: recorded as data.

Nature

  • Not measured Harm to nature: The record holds no measurement of harm to nature.
  • Disputed Did the deferrals stop logging of the old forest they were meant to protect?

Court

Accounts

  • Disputed What caused British Columbia's mill closures?
  • Disputed How many jobs would the deferrals cost?

Record

  • Insufficient The 2023 status of the Fairy Creek deferral and what happened to the area afterwards: not verified.
  • None on record Where logging moved after the deferrals (to other forests in the province or to imports): no leakage study found.
  • Disputed The total number of mill closures since 2019: sources differ in definition (permanent, indefinite, curtailed shifts).
  • None on record Which forests the Canadian companies' US South mills draw on, and the local effects: not researched.
  • Insufficient Reported but not independently verified: spring 2023 deferrals of 1.05 million ha, of which 258,000 ha lay in the timber harvesting land base and 7,200 ha were logged; a leaked-map analysis by the Canadian Centre for Policy Alternatives that 55% of large-tree areas were removed from the 2.6 million ha proposal.
  • Insufficient Reported but not independently verified: allowable annual cut in the interior raised from 50 to 68 million m³ (36%) between 2001 and 2014; 2023 harvest of 39 million m³ (down 18%); 20-year averages of 77 million m³ allowable and 60 million m³ actual; a 2026 budget projection of 29 million m³ for three years; COFI's figure of usable fibre falling from 60 to 35 million m³ between 2018 and 2023.
  • Insufficient Reported but not independently verified: Canfor's 2013 Alabama purchase (US$80 million), 2018 to 2019 acquisitions, 2022 Louisiana and Alabama mills; Interfor's 2021 Georgia-Pacific mills purchase (US$375 million); Canadian pension funds' forest holdings abroad.
  • Insufficient Reported but not independently verified: 2019 curtailments affecting more than 5,900 workers in 25 mills in 22 communities; COFI's figure of about 10,000 direct and indirect job losses from the 2023 decline.
  • Insufficient Reported but not independently verified: provincial wood supply forecast falling from 76.7 million m³ (2016) to 56.9 million m³ (2035); that companies were not required to be compensated for deferrals of up to four years.

Did the harm stop?

the sources reviewed give logging continuing in recommended deferral areas after 2021 and the province's target of raising the harvest by 50% (reported by The Narwhal, November 2025); it does not record a permanent ban.

Who paid?

Mill workers and communities bore closures (for example about 180 at Polar and about 500 at Plateau and Fort St. John); no payer is recorded for the deferrals themselves.

Sources

Voices on record: — Company or project✓ Government and regulators— Courts✓ Press and investigations— Communities and civil society— Researchers

Government and regulators

  1. Mountain pine beetle
    Natural Resources Canada · 2017

Connected cases

Related matters, and cases linked to this one through the same organisations, with the role each played in both.

Science and environment

Hectare (ha)
A unit of area equal to 10,000 square metres, about 2.5 acres. 100 hectares make one square kilometre.