Who gains from saving nature
Ledger 1 : 33 — For each dollar financing nature-based solutions in 2023, about $33 financed activities harmful to nature. (UNEP)
Cases / Urban greening and displacement · Philippines · 2019–2025

Manila Bay rehabilitation resettlement and Pasig riverwalk

Nature's voice · report
No measurement of the harm done to me here is on record.
Did nature suffer? Not measured. Disputed
What the record lacks: 1 none on record · 3 insufficient · 1 not measured · 2 disputed · 1 unclear See the gaps
Accounts of the harm differ
Has reclamation and dredging in Manila Bay harmed small fishers?
  • Communities and civil society A fisherfolk organisation: Small fishers' income fell by 80–90% while dredging in Cavite continued. Inquirer
  • Government and regulators DENR: Suspended 22 reclamation projects in August 2023 for review of environmental compliance certificate conditions; allowed two to continue in November. ABS-CBN (with PNA)

The Manila Bay rehabilitation programme has moved informal settler families away from the shoreline. A separate privately financed Pasig riverwalk plans temporary container housing for up to 10,000 families.

57,134 of 238,747 (23.93%)Informal families resettled under the Manila Bay programme, August 2025
DILG CALABARZON, August 2025.

Status As of August 2025: 57,134 of 238,747 identified informal families resettled; no completion date found.

What?
Resettlement of informal settler families under the Manila Bay rehabilitation programme, and a planned privately financed Pasig riverwalk with temporary container housing. DILG CALABARZON
Where?
Manila Bay and the Pasig River, Metro Manila, Philippines. DILG CALABARZON
When?
Resettlement figures to August 2025; Pasig project reported January 2024; reclamation suspensions in 2023. DILG CALABARZON
Who?
Gained
  • Not stated in the sources reviewed — The Pasig project is privately financed; its beneficiaries are not named in the sources reviewed. Inquirer
Lost
  • Informal settler families — 57,134 families resettled by August 2025. DILG CALABARZON
Harmed
  • Small fishers — A fisherfolk organisation said their income fell by 80–90%. Inquirer
Why?
DILG presented the programme as flood-risk reduction; a 2022 study found site selection coincided more with economic land-use change. Penn Institute for Urban Research
How?
Families are moved from the shoreline to resettlement sites; Pasig families would be housed temporarily in container vans. Inquirer
6 of 6 questions answered from the record

What happened

The record, in order.

The Manila Bay rehabilitation programme, which rests on a Supreme Court decision and is run with the Department of the Interior and Local Government (DILG), identified 238,747 informal settler families. By August 2025, DILG CALABARZON reported, 57,134 of them (23.93%) had been resettled; the rate in the National Capital Region was 36.56%. An earlier record from 2019 gave 70,165 of 190,655 families, which rests on a different base.

In January 2024 the Inquirer reported a PHP 18 billion, privately financed Pasig River riverwalk project under which up to 10,000 families would be moved temporarily into container vans, with PHP 1 million per family.

A 2022 study by the Penn Institute for Urban Research found that state-led resettlement at five sites in 2010–2016 coincided more with changes in economic land use than with disaster or planned retreat.

In August 2023 the Department of Environment and Natural Resources (DENR) suspended 22 reclamation projects in Manila Bay to review compliance with environmental compliance certificate conditions, and allowed two to continue in November 2023. In November 2023 a fisherfolk organisation said small fishers' income had fallen by 80–90% as dredging in Cavite continued.

  1. 2019Earlier record: 70,165 of 190,655 informal families reported resettled (different base)
  2. 2022Penn IUR study: resettlement sites coincide with economic land-use change (2010–2016, five sites)
  3. 2023DENR suspends 22 Manila Bay reclamation projects (Aug); two allowed to continue (Nov); fisherfolk group reports 80–90% income fall (Nov)
  4. 2024Pasig riverwalk: PHP 18 billion, up to 10,000 families to container vans (Jan)
  5. 2025DILG CALABARZON: 57,134 of 238,747 families (23.93%) resettled (Aug)

What was said

Claims, in the words of those who made them.

Where accounts differ

Each party's account, side by side, with its source. The record does not settle these points; it shows them.

Is resettlement driven by flood-risk reduction?
Government and regulators
DILG CALABARZON

Presented the resettlement as part of flood-risk reduction (headline of its August 2025 release).

DILG CALABARZON
Researchers
Penn Institute for Urban Research

State-led resettlement at five sites in 2010–2016 coincided more with changes in economic land use than with disaster or planned retreat.

Penn Institute for Urban Research
Has reclamation and dredging in Manila Bay harmed small fishers?
Communities and civil society
A fisherfolk organisation

Small fishers' income fell by 80–90% while dredging in Cavite continued.

Inquirer
Government and regulators
DENR

Suspended 22 reclamation projects in August 2023 for review of environmental compliance certificate conditions; allowed two to continue in November.

ABS-CBN (with PNA)

How it looked

What was shown, beside what was recorded.

Shown

  • "Manila Bay rehabilitation: white beach": 3,500 tonnes of crushed dolomite brought from Cebu.
    DENR
  • Resettlement of informal settler families as flood-risk reduction under the Manila Bay programme.
    DILG CALABARZON (headline of its August 2025 release) · DILG CALABARZON

Recorded

  • 238,747 informal families identified; 57,134 (23.93%) resettled by August 2025; 36.56% in the National Capital Region.
  • Pasig riverwalk: PHP 18 billion, privately financed; up to 10,000 families temporarily in container vans; PHP 1 million per family.
  • Resettlement decisions at five sites in 2010–2016 coincided more with economic land-use change than with disaster risk.
  • Dolomite fill: initial reports gave a cost of PHP 389 million; the University of the Philippines Marine Science Institute described it as temporary; no environmental impact assessment was carried out.
  • 22 reclamation projects suspended in August 2023; two allowed to continue in November 2023.

Who gained

Money that reached nature, beside money that stayed elsewhere.

Reached nature or the ground

Not published
No figure published.

Gained elsewhere

Not totalled
Currency: PHP · Window: 2024. All figures cover the same period. * Estimate built from cited figures.

Responses on record

  • dilg (August 2025): DILG CALABARZON headlined its release as reaffirming its commitment to flood-risk reduction, with 57.1K informal settler families resettled under the programme. · DILG CALABARZON
  • denr (August 2023): Suspended 22 Manila Bay reclamation projects to review compliance with environmental compliance certificate conditions. · ABS-CBN (with PNA)

In court and with insurers

Every proceeding and every insurer decision on record.

Lawsuits and rulings

  1. Outcome not on record
    Supreme Court decision on Manila Bay rehabilitation
    Supreme Court of the Philippines · Administrative · →

    The resettlement programme is described as carried out under a Supreme Court decision on Manila Bay rehabilitation; the sources reviewed give no further detail.

Insurers

No insurer decision on record.

What nature saw

Outcomes measured on the ground, and nature's note.

Nature's report opens this page. Below: further outcomes measured on the ground.

Dolomite beach fill
Temporary
University of the Philippines Marine Science Institute; 3,500 t brought from Cebu; no environmental impact assessment
Small fishers' income
Down 80–90%
Claim by a fisherfolk organisation, November 2023, with dredging in Cavite continuing

What we don't know

Undisclosed, unproven, untried: recorded as data.

Nature

  • Not measured Harm to nature: No independent ecological evaluation is on record.
  • Disputed Has reclamation and dredging in Manila Bay harmed small fishers?

Court

  • Unclear Supreme Court decision on Manila Bay rehabilitation: outcome not on record.

Figures

  • Insufficient Fisher income fall pct: Claim by a fisherfolk organisation.

Accounts

  • Disputed Is resettlement driven by flood-risk reduction?

Record

  • None on record The final status of the reclamation projects other than the two allowed to continue in November 2023: no source reviewed gives it.
  • Insufficient Reported but not independently verified: the abduction of two activists who opposed Manila Bay reclamation in 2023, a Supreme Court finding of elements of enforced disappearance, and EUR 1.5 billion of Dutch export-credit insurance cover for the dredging contractor Boskalis. No source link is held for these.
  • Insufficient Reported but not independently verified: that the Philippine Reclamation Authority was awaiting the restart of the Bacoor (90 ha) and Navotas (30 ha) reclamations in February 2024.

Did the harm stop?

Not on record: resettlement continued in 2025, with 23.93% of identified families resettled.

Who paid?

Informal settler families moved from the shoreline: 57,134 families by August 2025.

Sources

Voices on record: — Company or project✓ Government and regulators— Courts✓ Press and investigations— Communities and civil society✓ Researchers

Researchers

Connected cases

Related matters, and cases linked to this one through the same organisations, with the role each played in both.

Science and environment

Hectare (ha)
A unit of area equal to 10,000 square metres, about 2.5 acres. 100 hectares make one square kilometre.